Publication Date:
2013-10-16
Description:
Estimating population models from uncertain observations is an important problem in ecology. Perretti et al. observed that standard Bayesian state–space solutions to this problem may provide biased parameter estimates when the underlying dynamics are chaotic (1). Consequently, forecasts based on these estimates showed poor predictive accuracy compared with simple “model-free”...
Keywords:
Letters
Print ISSN:
0027-8424
Electronic ISSN:
1091-6490
Topics:
Biology
,
Medicine
,
Natural Sciences in General
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