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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2004-12-03
    Description: Hydrologists have long speculated that soil moisture information can be used to increase skill in monthly to seasonal forecast systems. For this to be true, though, three conditions must be satisfied: (1) an imposed initial soil moisture anomaly in the forecast system must have some memory, so that it persists into the forecast period; (2) the modeled atmosphere must respond in a predictable way to the persisted anomaly; and (3) the forecast model must correctly represent both the soil moisture memory and the atmospheric response as they occur in nature. In this short paper, we review some recent work at NSIPP (NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project) that addresses all three conditions.
    Keywords: Meteorology and Climatology
    Type: Prospects for Improved Forecasts of Weather and Short-Term Climate Variability on Subseasonal (2-Week to 2-Month) Times Scales; Volume 23; 135-138; NASA/TM-2002-104606/VOL23
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  • 2
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    In:  Other Sources
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: The sensitivity of climate which may have a local maximum as the ice cap passes through a midlatitude region where the atmosphere's transport efficiency varies strongly with latitude is examined. This behavior, found in a two level primitive equations climate model forced with annual mean insolation, was reproduced in an energy balance model (EBM) by making the diffusion coefficient a function of latitude. The two level seasonally varying EBM was applied and the global mean surface temperature vs. solar constant for this model are shown and two regions of enhanced sensitivity appear. The snowcover distributions around the year for three cases are shown.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Res. Rev., 1983; p 227-230
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: Stratus and stratocumulus cloud sheets which are among the most common cloud types over the world are discussed. They are characteristic of the undisturbed subtropical marine boundary layer over the eastern oceans, where cool water and large scale sinking motion suppress penetrative cumulus convection. They also occur over the Arctic Ocean, particularly in summer, and behind cold outbreaks over the western oceans in winter. Observational studies were conducted and further observations are planned.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Res. Rev., 1983; p 222-226
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2011-08-19
    Description: Results obtained with a mixed layer model are used to study the dynamics of stratocumulus formation and dissipation in subtropical marine stratocumulus cloud regimes. The model used allows entrainment to be driven by shear as well as buoyancy, and includes a very crude parameterization of the partial blackness of thin cloud layers. Model results show that for some values of the large-scale divergence there are three equilibrium mixed layer structures, two of which are stable. One of the stable equilibria is cloudy, deep, and buoyancy-driven, while the other is clear, shallow, and shear-driven. It is found that as a result of hysteresis effects a transient increase in the large-scale divergence can produce a long-lasting break in the clouds.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (ISSN 0022-4928); 41; 3052-305
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: A planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization for general circulation models (GCMs) is presented. It uses a mixed-layer approach in which the PBL is assumed to be capped by discontinuities in the mean vertical profiles. Both clear and cloud-topped boundary layers are parameterized. Particular emphasis is placed on the formulation of the coupling between the PBL and both the free atmosphere and cumulus convection. For this purpose a modified sigma-coordinate is introduced in which the PBL top and the lower boundary are both coordinate surfaces. The use of a bulk PBL formulation with this coordinate is extensively discussed. Results are presented from a July simulation produced by the UCLA GCM. PBL-related variables are shown, to illustrate the various regimes the parameterization is capable of simulating.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Monthly Weather Review (ISSN 0027-0644); 111; 2224-224
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2014-10-09
    Description: The purpose is to understand the evolution of the atmospheric anomalies associated with the most recent warm episode by the use of simulation studies with the UCLA general circulation model (GCM). The approach is to integrate the model using the observed sequence of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies during 1982 to 1983, and compare it with a control run in which all boundary conditions vary from month to month as in the climatology. The control for the experiment was a three year simulation using seasonally varying climatological SSTs. The anomaly calculation was initialized from 15 June of the first year of the control. From 15 June to 1 July, the SST was gradually modified by the anomalies observed during June and July of 1982. From 1 July on, the run was continued using the control's SST plus the 1982 to 1983 anomalies. SSTs were varied daily, interpolating between monthly means. This second integration as carried to the end of February of the second year (1983 in the anomaly). Only anomalies over the tropical Pacific were used.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Res. Rev., 1983; p 125-126
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2014-10-09
    Description: Multiple states of the barotropic vorticity equation in which the balance is between the first and third terms on the r.h.s. of (1) are given. Solutions of this type were also considered by Charney and Devore (1979) in their discussion of thermally, rather than topographically, forced waves. Whereas in the case of topographic forcing the multiplicity arises from what they called form-drag instability in the wave-zonal flow interaction, in the thermal forcing case the associated instability appears to be the Rossby-wave instability discussed by Lorenz (1972), and the multiple states of the highly truncated model proved to be unstable when more degrees of freedom were added. The multiple statistically steady solutions described are thus novel in that they do not involve form-drag instability, they have stable statistics in calculations with a large number of degrees of freedoms, and they occur on the sphere, with no artificial confinement in a resonant cavity. Furthermore, the solutions are obtained with no external forcing of the zonal flow. The full non-linear equations for two-dimensional non-divergent motion between smooth, rigid boundaries on a sphere were used.
    Keywords: GEOPHYSICS
    Type: Res. Rev., 1983; p 115-119
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  • 8
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    In:  Other Sources
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: The use of a "canopy' bucket to more accurately represent evapotranspiration over land surfaces is explained. The temporal behavior of the traditional bucket model is compared with one that mimics the effects of interception loss. Results are presented in terms of the spectral response of the parameterization to a hypothetical white noise forcing.
    Keywords: EARTH RESOURCES AND REMOTE SENSING
    Type: Res. Rev., 1983; p 275-284
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: An efficient broad band longwave radiation code for CO2 and H2O and for O3 was developed. There are two bands each in the CO2 and H2O absorption regions, one for the band center and one for the band wings. One band covers O3 absorption and the overlapping H2O continuum. Overlap is also considered in the CO2 region, and there is H2O continuum absorption where applicable. Clouds are considered nonreflecting in the longwave. Therefore partial cover or partial transmission can be allowed for, by considering a cloud fraction at each atmospheric level. A special subroutine was written to allow for maximum or random overlap of clouds that may be used in the future. All algorithms were written with vectorization in mind with identical operations made for all horizontal grid points in a latitude circle. Where possible, operations are carried out covering the vertical grid points as well, yielding long vectors for efficient computations.
    Keywords: GEOPHYSICS
    Type: Res. Rev., 1983; p 251-253
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: The long term climate sensitivity which include realistic atmospheric dynamics are severely restricted by the expense of integrating atmospheric general circulation models are discussed. Taking as an example models used at GSFC for this dynamic model is an alternative which is of much lower horizontal or vertical resolution. The model of Heid and Suarez uses only two levels in the vertical and, although it has conventional grid resolution in the meridional direction, horizontal resolution is reduced by keeping only a few degrees of freedom in the zonal wavenumber spectrum. Without zonally asymmetric forcing this model simulates a day in roughly 1/2 second on a CRAY. The model under discussion is a fully finite differenced, zonally asymmetric version of the Heid-Suarez model. It is anticipated that speeds can be obtained a few seconds a day roughly 50 times faster than moderate resolution, multilayer GCM's.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Res. Rev., 1983; p 231-232
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