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  • Italy  (2)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2018-03-30
    Description: In 2015, the Seismic Hazard Centre (CPS) of the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) was commissioned to engage and coordinate the national community with the aim of elaborating a new reference seismic hazard model, which is expected to be released in mid 2018. CPS outlined a roadmap to describe the main features of this complex endeavour, including the different scientific tasks, milestones and timelines. The scientific tasks focus their work on i) improving the quality and the accuracy of the input data (e.g. historical seismic catalogue, seismotectonic zonation, etc.); ii) building new earthquake rate models based on these new input data, iii) selecting the most proper ground motion prediction equations, iv) testing the overall seismic hazard model as well as each component; v) combining the results of the statistical testing phase and the outcome of an expert's elicitation session to assign a weight to each component of the final seismic hazard model. The new seismic hazard model is based on an innovative coherent probabilistic framework, which allows a proper description of the aleatory variability and epistemic uncertainty, and the validation of the seismic hazard model. Here, we describe the progresses made up to now, the comparison between the new and the official national model, and finally we discuss the scientific aspects that have the most significant impact on the new picture of PSHA in Italy.
    Description: Published
    Description: Blenheim (New Zealand)
    Description: 1SR. TERREMOTI - Servizi e ricerca per la Società
    Keywords: Italy ; Seismic hazard ; Building code
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Conference paper
    Location Call Number Expected Availability
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2017-08-02
    Description: The Italian reference seismic hazard model was released in 2004, but it has been adopted for the definition of seismic zones in 2006 and for building code only in 2009. At the beginning of 2015 the Seismic Hazard Center (CPS) of INGV was commissioned to coordinate the national scientific community with the aim of elaborating a new reference seismic hazard model, mainly finalized to the update of seismic code. The CPS designed a roadmap to release within 2 years a significantly renewed model, with regard both to the updated input elements and to the strategies to follow, in order to obtain a shared and largely accepted PSHA. The main requirements of the model were discussed in meetings with the experts on earthquake engineering. A public call was opened according to a transparent procedure; we received 24 proposals from many national institutions. The activities were organized in 6 tasks: project coordination, input data, seismicity models, ground motion prediction equations, computation and rendering, validation. In the first phase, the working groups of each task worked separately; in the second phase of the project they collaborated to release a final model. During the project, many scientific aspects were carefully considered, as in many other seismic hazard projects: the use of a declustered catalogue versus a non declustered one, the adoption of the logic-tree approach instead of an ensemble modeling, the definition of objective strategies to assign the weight to each single model, and so on.
    Description: Published
    Description: Santiago Chile
    Description: 5T. Modelli di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto
    Keywords: Seismic hazard ; Italy ; Building code
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Conference paper
    Location Call Number Expected Availability
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