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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Journal of mathematical biology 30 (1992), S. 693-716 
    ISSN: 1432-1416
    Keywords: Epidemiological models ; Population dynamics ; Thresholds ; Hopf bifurcation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Five SIRS epidemiological models for populations of varying size are considered. The incidences of infection are given by mass action terms involving the number of infectives and either the number of susceptibles or the fraction of the population which is susceptible. When the population dynamics are immigration and deaths, thresholds are found which determine whether the disease dies out or approaches an endemic equilibrium. When the population dynamics are unbalanced births and deaths proportional to the population size, thresholds are found which determine whether the disease dies out or remains endemic and whether the population declines to zero, remains finite or grows exponentially. In these models the persistence of the disease and disease-related deaths can reduce the asymptotic population size or change the asymptotic behavior from exponential growth to exponential decay or approach to an equilibrium population size.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Journal of mathematical biology 25 (1987), S. 359-380 
    ISSN: 1432-1416
    Keywords: Epidemiological models ; Nonlinear incidence rates ; Hopf bifurcation ; Homoclinic-loop bifurcation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Epidemiological models with nonlinear incidence rates λI pSqshow a much wider range of dynamical behaviors than do those with bilinear incidence rates λIS. These behaviors are determined mainly by p and λ, and secondarily by q. For such models, there may exist multiple attractive basins in phase space; thus whether or not the disease will eventually die out may depend not only upon the parameters, but also upon the initial conditions. In some cases, periodic solutions may appear by Hopf bifurcation at critical parameter values.
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  • 3
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Journal of mathematical biology 30 (1992), S. 717-731 
    ISSN: 1432-1416
    Keywords: Epidemiological model ; Density-dependent logistic growth ; Thresholds ; Stability
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract The models considered for the spread of an infectious disease in a population are of SIRS or SIS type with a standard incidence expression. The varying population size is described by a modification of the logistic differential equation which includes a term for disease-related deaths. The models have density-dependent restricted growth due to a decreasing birth rate and an increasing death rate as the population size increases towards its carrying capacity. Thresholds, equilibria and stability are determined for the systems of ordinary differential equations for each model. The persistence of the infectious disease and disease-related deaths can lead to a new equilibrium population size below the carrying capacity and can even cause the population to become extinct.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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