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  • 551  (4)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2021-07-01
    Description: The ~0.2 km3 Eibsee rock avalanche impacted Paleolake Eibsee and completely displaced its waters. This study analyses the lake impact and the consequences, and the catchment response to the landslide. A quasi‐3D seismic reflection survey, four sediment cores from modern Lake Eibsee, reaching far down into the rock avalanche mass, nine radiocarbon ages, and geomorphic analysis allow us to distinguish the main rock avalanche event from a secondary debris avalanche and debris flow. The highly fluidized debris avalanche formed a megaturbidite and multiple swashes that are recorded in the lake sediments. The new calibrated age for the Eibsee rock avalanche of ~4080–3970 cal yr BP indicates a coincidence with rockslides in the Fernpass cluster and subaquatic landslides in Lake Piburg and Lake Plansee, and raises the possibility that a large regional earthquake triggered these events. We document a complex history of erosion and sedimentation in Lake Eibsee, and demonstrate how the catchment response and rebirth of the lake are revealed through the complementary application of geophysics, sedimentology, radiocarbon dating, and geomorphology. © 2020 The Authors. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd
    Description: Sedimentological, geophysical and geomorphological investigation in and around Lake Eibsee allows to decipher three rock‐slope failures from Mount Zugspitze: (i) the Eibsee rock avalanche ~4000 cal yr BP; (ii) a debris avalanche in the aftermath; and (iii) a large debris flow ~3740 cal yr BP. The Eibsee rock avalanche was re‐dated to a refined age of 4089–3876 cal yr BP. The coincidence with major events in the Fernpass rockslide cluster increases the likelihood of a prehistoric earthquake trigger.
    Description: Studienstiftung des Deutschen Volkes e.V. (German National Academic Foundation): http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100004350
    Description: British Society for Geomorphology http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010165
    Keywords: 551 ; rock avalanche ; lake impact ; lake sediments ; catchment response ; progressive slope failure ; recurrence rates ; prehistoric earthquake ; Fernpass rockslide cluster
    Type: article
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2021-07-01
    Description: Rock avalanches destroy and reshape landscapes in only a few minutes and are among the most hazardous processes on Earth. The surface morphology of rock avalanche deposits and the interaction with the underlying material are crucial for runout properties and reach. Water within the travel path is displaced, producing large impact waves and reducing friction, leading to long runouts. We hypothesize that the 0.2 km3 Holocene Eibsee rock avalanche from Mount Zugspitze in the Bavarian Alps overran and destroyed Paleolake Eibsee and left a unique sedimentological legacy of processes active during the landslide. We captured 9.5 km of electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) profiles across the rock avalanche deposits, with up to 120 m penetration depth and more than 34 000 datum points. The ERT profiles reveal up to ~50 m thick landslide debris, locally covering up to ~30 m of rock debris with entrained fine‐grained sediments on top of isolated remnants of decametre‐wide paleolake sediments. The ERT profiles allow us to infer processes involved in the interaction of the rock avalanche with bedrock, lake sediments, and morainal sediments, including shearing, bulging, and bulldozing. Complementary data from drilling, a gravel pit exposure, laboratory tests, and geomorphic features were used for ERT calibration. Sediments overrun by the rock avalanche show water‐escape structures. Based on all of these datasets, we reconstructed both position and size of the paleolake prior to the catastrophic event. Our reconstruction of the event contributes to process an understanding of the rock avalanche and future modelling and hazard assessment. Here we show how integrated geomorphic, geophysical, and sedimentological approaches can provide detailed insights into the impact of a rock avalanche on a lake. © 2020 The Authors. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd
    Description: The Eibsee rock avalanche detached from Mount Zugspitze and impacted and destroyed Paleolake Eibsee. Paleolake Eibsee was larger than modern Lake Eibsee; the rock avalanche deposit covers the northern half of the paleolake. The complementary application of geomorphology, electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) and sedimentology allows for ERT calibration at seven different sites, where materials (rock avalanche, bedrock, lake clay, mixed sediments) and effects of the impact (bulldozing, bulging, overriding of secondary lobes, splashing of boulders) can be distinguished.
    Description: Studienstiftung des Deutschen Volkes e.V. (German National Academic Foundation): http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100004350
    Keywords: 551 ; rock avalanche ; runout ; lake impact ; paleolake reconstruction ; ERT calibration ; water‐escape structures ; Northern Calcareous Alps ; Eibsee ; Zugspitze
    Type: article
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2021-07-21
    Description: The warming of rock permafrost affects mechanical stability and hydro‐cryostatic pressures in rock walls. The coincident decrease in slope stability frequently affects infrastructure by creep and subsidence and promotes the generation of rockfalls and rockslides. The increasing hazard posed by warming permafrost rock walls and the growing exposure of infrastructure and individuals create a demand for quantitative monitoring methods. Laboratory‐calibrated electrical resistivity tomography provides a sensitive record for frozen versus unfrozen bedrock, presumably being the most accurate quantitative monitoring technique in permafrost areas where boreholes are not available. The data presented here are obtained at the permafrost‐affected and unstable Steintaelli Ridge at 3100 m a.s.l. and allow the quantification of permafrost changes in the longest electrical resistivity tomography time series in steep bedrock. Five parallel transects across the rock ridge have been measured five times each, between 2006 and 2019, with similar hardware. Field measurements were calibrated using temperature‐resistivity laboratory measurements of water‐saturated rock samples from the site. A 3D time‐lapse inversion scheme is applied in the boundless electrical resistivity tomography (BERT) software for the inversion of the data. To assess the initial data quality, we compare the effect of data filtering and the robustness of final results with three different filters and two time‐lapse models. We quantify the volumetric permafrost distribution in the bedrock and its degradation in the last decades. Our data show mean monthly air temperatures to increase from −3.4°C to −2.6°C between 2005‒2009 and 2015‒2019, respectively, while simultaneously permafrost volume degraded on average from 6790 m3 (±640 m3 rock in phase‐transition range) in 2006 to 3880 m3 (±1000 m3) in 2019. For the first time, we provide a quantitative measure of permafrost degradation in unstable bedrock by using a temperature‐calibrated 4D electrical resistivity tomography. Our approach represents a fundamental benchmark for the evaluation of climate change effects on bedrock permafrost.
    Keywords: 622.15 ; 551 ; Climate change ; ERT ; Geohazard ; 3D
    Type: article
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2021-07-21
    Description: Lahars are among the most hazardous mass flow processes on earth and have caused up to 23 000 casualties in single events in the recent past. The Cotopaxi volcano, 60 km southeast of Quito, has a well‐documented history of massively destructive lahars and is a hotspot for future lahars due to (i) its ~10 km2 glacier cap, (ii) its 117–147‐year return period of (Sub)‐Plinian eruptions, and (iii) the densely populated potential inundation zones (300 000 inhabitants). Previous mechanical lahar models often do not (i) capture the steep initial lahar trajectory, (ii) reproduce multiple flow paths including bifurcation and confluence, and (iii) generate appropriate key parameters like flow speed and pressure at the base as a measure of erosion capacity. Here, we back‐calculate the well‐documented 1877 lahar using the RAMMS debris flow model with an implemented entrainment algorithm, covering the entire lahar path from the volcano edifice to an extent of ~70 km from the source. To evaluate the sensitivity and to constrain the model input range, we systematically explore input parameter values, especially the Voellmy–Salm friction coefficients μ and ξ. Objective selection of the most likely parameter combinations enables a realistic and robust lahar hazard representation. Detailed historic records for flow height, flow velocity, peak discharge, travel time and inundation limits match best with a very low Coulomb‐type friction μ (0.0025–0.005) and a high turbulent friction ξ (1000–1400 m/s2). Finally, we apply the calibrated model to future eruption scenarios (Volcanic Explosivity Index = 2–3, 3–4, 〉4) at Cotopaxi and accordingly scaled lahars. For the first time, we anticipate a potential volume growth of 50–400% due to lahar erosivity on steep volcano flanks. Here we develop a generic Voellmy–Salm approach across different scales of high‐magnitude lahars and show how it can be used to anticipate future syneruptive lahars.
    Description: A generic model approach is developed to simulate massive syneruptive lahars at Cotopaxi from initiation on the steep volcano flanks to distal reaches. Evaluation of 14 calibration constraints shows that the Voellmy–Salm model reliably reproduces bulk behaviour of syneruptive lahars. Estimations of lahar erosivity on the volcano flanks anticipate an erosion‐related volume increase for future Cotopaxi lahars between 50 and 400%.
    Description: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Keywords: 551 ; debris flow erosion ; lahar ; model calibration ; numerical model ; predictive modelling
    Type: article
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