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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: Seismicity Models for Moderate Earthquakes in Kanto, Central Japan
    Description: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Rome, Italy Institute of Statistical Mathematics (ISM), Tokyo, Japan Swiss Seismological Service, Institute of Geophysics (ETH), Zürich, Switzerland
    Description: Unpublished
    Description: Erice, Italy
    Description: open
    Keywords: Forecasting ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.99. General or miscellaneous
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Oral presentation
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2019-11-04
    Description: We constructed a model of earthquakes (M ≥ 5.0) in Kanto, central Japan, based on three parameters: the a and b values of the Gutenberg-Richter relation, and the ν- parameter of changes in mean event size. In our method, two empirical probability densities for each parameter, those associated with target events (conditional density distributions) and those not associated with them (background density distributions), are defined and assumed to have a normal distribution. Therefore, three parameters are transformed by appropriate relations so that new parameters are normally distributed. The retrospective analysis in the learning period and the prospective test of testing period demonstrated that the proposed model performs better by about 0.1 units in terms of the information gain per event than the value summed up with those of the three parameters. The results are confirmed by a simulation with randomly selected model parameters.
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: open
    Keywords: seismicity model ; information gain ; Gutenberg-Richter relation ; Kanto ; Japan ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.99. General or miscellaneous
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2022-06-08
    Description: Probabilistic Estimation of Earthquake Growth to a Large One in an Earthquake Early Warning System: Re-Estimation for the Nankai Trough Region
    Description: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Rome, Italy Institute of Statistical Mathematics (ISM), Tokyo, Japan Swiss Seismological Service, Institute of Geophysics (ETH), Zürich, Switzerland
    Description: Unpublished
    Description: Erice, Italy
    Description: open
    Keywords: Early Warning ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.99. General or miscellaneous
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Oral presentation
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