ALBERT

Description: Recently, surface diffuse solar radiation (Rdif) has been attracting a growing interest in view of its function in improving plant productivity, thus promoting global carbon uptake, and its impacts on solar energy utilization. To date, very few radiation products provide estimates of Rdif, and systematic validation and evaluation are even more scare. In this study, Rdif estimates from Reanalysis Fifth Generation (ERA5) of European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and satellite-based retrieval (called JiEA) are evaluated over East Asia using ground measurements at 39 stations from World Radiation Data Center (WRDC) and China Meteorological Administration (CMA). The results show that JiEA agrees well with measurements, while ERA5 underestimates Rdif significantly. Both datasets perform better at monthly mean scale than at daily mean and hourly scale. The mean bias error and root-mean-square error of daily mean estimates are −1.21 W/m2 and 20.06 W/m2 for JiEA and −17.18 W/m2 and 32.42 W/m2 for ERA5, respectively. Regardless of over- or underestimation, correlations of estimated time series of ERA5 and JiEA show high similarity. JiEA reveals a slight decreasing trend at regional scale, but ERA5 shows no significant trend, and neither of them reproduces temporal variability of ground measurements. Data accuracy of ERA5 is more robust than JiEA in time but less in space. Latitudinal dependency is noted for ERA5 while not for JiEA. In addition, spatial distributions of Rdif from ERA5 and JiEA show pronounced discrepancy. Neglect of adjacency effects caused by horizontal photon transport is the main cause for Rdif underestimation of ERA5. Spatial analysis calls for improvements to the representation of clouds, aerosols and water vapor for reproducing fine spatial distribution and seasonal variations of Rdif.

Description: In this paper on the analysis of the vertical distribution of different-diameter dust aerosols and the potential impacts on East Asia, the sensitivity simulation tests of dust aerosols during 2002–03 were conducted by changing the underlying surface on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in the global atmospheric circulation model Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) 3.1. The results show that dust aerosol particles in East Asia are mainly distributed in the diameters of 0.64–5.12 μm. The high concentrations of dust aerosols are centered on the surface in the source areas and gradually raised during the eastward transport across East Asia, reaching a height of 4 km at 120° E. The small dust particles with diameters less than 1.28 μm are transported higher and farther driven by the midlatitude westerlies. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau desertification leads to increasing concentrations of dust aerosols in all size bins and raisesthe transport height of dust aerosols in East Asia. The long-range transport in the East Asian troposphere is dominated by dust aerosols particles of diameters 0.64–2.56 μm, as well as a large contribution of dust aerosols with diameters larger than 1.28 μm.

Description: Based on the ensemble precipitation forecast data in the summers of 2014–2018 from the Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE), a comparative study of two multi-model ensemble methods, the Bayesian model average (BMA) and the logistic regression (LR), was conducted. Meanwhile, forecasts of heavy precipitation from the two models over the Wujiang River Basin in China for the summer of 2018 were compared to verify their performances. The training period sensitivity test results show that a training period of 2 years was the best for BMA probability forecast model. Compared with the BMA method, the LR model required more statistical samples and its optimal length of the training period was 5 years. According to the Brier score (BS), for precipitation events exceeding 10 mm with lead times of 1–7 days, the BMA outperformed the LR and the raw ensemble prediction system forecasts (RAW) except for forecasts with a lead time of 1 day. Furthermore, for heavy rainfall events exceeding 25 and 50 mm, the RAW and the BMA performed much the same in terms of prediction. The reliability diagram of the two multi-model ensembles (i.e., BMA and LR) was more reliable than the RAW for heavy and moderate rainfall forecasts, and the BMA model had the best performance. The BMA probabilistic forecast can produce a highly concentrated probability density function (PDF) curve and can also provide deterministic forecasts through analyzing percentile forecast results. With regard to the heavy rainfall forecast in mountainous areas, it is recommended to refer to the forecast with a larger percentile between the 75th and 90th percentiles. Nevertheless, extreme events with low probability forecasts may occur and cannot be ignored.

Description: All-for-one tourism is a new viewpoint of tourism development involving overall planning and cooperative mechanisms. Over the past few years, the researchers have put forward many conceptual models to guide the top-level design and specific practice of all-for-one tourism. However, these studies mainly focus on social, economic and cultural effect in mature tourism areas, lacking comprehensive analysis from geographical perspective and neglecting the underdeveloped regions. In this paper, we attempt to apply geographic information system technology to tourism evaluation, exploring the approach of all-for-one tourism development in mountain regions. Zunyi city is selected as the research region and evaluated on the abundance, quality and spatial pattern of tourism resources, climate comfort, natural disaster possibility, and convenience of infrastructure or social service. Multi-source datasets collected from websites, reanalysis data, remote sensing products and observation stations are used. Based on data analysis, some recommendations including enriching cultural tourism products through cultural creativity, ensuring regional coordinated development through spatial optimization, respecting the spatiotemporal characteristics of climate and the laws of nature, and strengthening construction of infrastructure, are discussed to promote the healthy development of all-for-one tourism.

Description: The rapid development of remote sensing technology has promoted the generation of different vegetation index products, resulting in substantive accomplishment in comprehensive economic development and monitoring of natural environmental changes. The results of scientific experiments based on various vegetation index products are also different with the variation of time and space. In this work, the consistency characteristics among three global normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) products, namely, GIMMS3g NDVI, MOD13A3 NDVI, and SPOT-VGT NDVI, are intercompared and validated based on Landsat 8 NDVI at biome and regional scale over the Mongolian Plateau (MP) from 2000 to 2014 by decomposing time series datasets. The agreement coefficient (AC) and statistical scores such as Pearson correlation coefficient, root mean square error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE), and standard deviation (STD) are used to evaluate the consistency between three NDVI datasets. Intercomparison results reveal that GIMMS3g NDVI has the highest values basically over the MP, while SPOT-VGT NDVI has the lowest values. The spatial distribution of AC values between various NDVI products indicates that the three NDVI datasets are highly consistent with each other in the northern regions of the MP, and MOD13A3 NDVI and SPOT-VGT NDVI have better consistency in expressing vegetation cover and change trends due to the highest proportions of pixels with AC values greater than 0.6. However, the trend components of decomposed NDVI sequences show that SPOT-VGT NDVI values are about 0.02 lower than the other two datasets in the whole variation periods. The zonal characteristics show that GIMMS3g NDVI in January 2013 is significantly higher than those of the other two datasets. However, in July 2013, the three datasets are remarkably consistent because of the greater vegetation coverage. Consistency validation results show that values of SPOT-VGT NDVI agree more with Landsat 8 NDVI than GIMMS3g NDVI and MOD13A3 NDVI, and the consistencies in the northeast of the MP are higher than northwest regions.

Description: The Twain-Hu basin (THB), covering the lower plain of Hubei and Hunan provinces in Central China, has experienced severe air pollution in recent years. However, the terrain effects of such sub-basin on air quality over the THB have been incomprehensibly understood. A heavy PM2.5 pollution event occurred over the THB during 4–10 January 2019. By using the observations and WRF-Chem simulations, we investigated the underlying mechanisms of sub-basin effects on the air pollution with several sensitivity experiments. Observationally, air pollution in the western THB urban area with an average PM2.5 concentration of 189.8 μg m−3, which was more serious than the eastern urban area with the average PM2.5 concentration of 106.3 μg m−3, reflecting a different influence of topography on air pollution over the THB. Simulation results revealed that the terrain effect can contribute 12.0% to increasing the PM2.5 concentrations in the western THB, but slightly mitigate the pollution extent in the eastern THB with the contribution of −4.6% to PM2.5 during the heavy pollution episode. In particular, the sub-basin terrain was conducive to the accumulation of PM2.5 by regional transport with the contribution of 39.1 %, and contrarily lowered its local pollution by −57.0% via the enhanced atmospheric boundary layer height and ventilation coefficients. Given a heavy air pollution episode occurring over the THB, such inverse contribution of terrain effects reflected a unique importance of sub-basin topography in regional transport of air pollutants for air pollution in central China.

Description: In 2020, when the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) broke out as a global pandemic, cities in Hubei Province first went into lockdown on 23 January and resumed work and production on 20 March. From February to March 2020, human activities in Hubei decreased significantly, with the average particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) concentration standing at 40 μg/m3, which is 21% lower than the expected based on a linear fitting trend in thePM2.5 concentration in Hubei. By using the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) method, this paper comparatively analyzes the spatial-temporal variations of Hubei’s PM2.5 concentration anomaly in February and March 2020 and the same periods of 2016–2019. The results show that the daytime peak of the PM2.5 daily variation in Hubei in a low-emission scenario during COVID-19 declined significantly, to which human activities contributed the most. However, during nighttime, the PM2.5 peak became more prominent, and the meteorological conditions had a more noticeable effect on the PM2.5 concentration. In addition, during COVID-19, there was a great drop in PM2.5 pollution accumulated from local sources within the urban circle of Wuhan City, while an increase was seen in central-western Hubei due to the inter-regional pollutant transport. Thus, the high PM2.5 concentration center in the urban circle of Wuhan disappeared, but the pollution transport channel cities in central-western Hubei remained as high-PM2.5-concentration centers.