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    JOHN WILEY & SONS LTD
    In:  EPIC3International Journal of Climatology, JOHN WILEY & SONS LTD, pp. 1-20, ISSN: 0899-8418
    Publikationsdatum: 2020-04-02
    Beschreibung: The Svalbard archipelago in the Arctic North Atlantic is experiencing rapid changes in the surface climate and sea ice distribution, with impacts for the coupled climate system and the local society. This study utilizes observational data of surface air temperature (SAT) from 1980–2016 across the whole Svalbard archipelago, and sea ice extent (SIE) from operational sea ice charts to conduct a systematic assessment of climatologies, long-term changes and regional differences. The proximity to the warm water mass of the West Spitsbergen Current drives a markedly warmer climate in the western coastal regions compared to northern and eastern Svalbard. This imprints on the SIE climatology in southern and western Svalbard, where the annual maxima of 50–60% area ice coverage are substantially less than 80–90% in the northern and eastern fjords. Owing to winter-amplified warming, the local climate is shifting towards more maritime conditions, and SIE reductions of between 5 and 20% per decade in particular regions are found, such that a number of fjords in the west have been virtually ice-free in recent winters. The strongest decline comes along with SAT forcing and occurs over the most recent 1–2 decades in all regions; while in the 1980s and 1990s, enhanced northerly winds and sea ice drift can explain 30–50% of SIE variability around northern Svalbard, where they had correspondingly lead to a SIE increase. With an ongoing warming it is suggested that both the meteorological and cryospheric conditions in eastern Svalbard will become increasingly similar to what is already observed in the western fjords, namely suppressed typical Arctic climate conditions.
    Repository-Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Materialart: Article , isiRev
    Format: application/pdf
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 2
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    Unbekannt
    JOHN WILEY & SONS LTD
    In:  EPIC3Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, JOHN WILEY & SONS LTD, ISSN: 0035-9009
    Publikationsdatum: 2019-07-17
    Beschreibung: The vertical structure of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL), simulated with the mesoscale modelWeather Research and Forecasting (WRF) as well as with its polar optimized version Polar WRF, was compared to tethered balloon soundings and mast observations taken in March and April 2009 from two Arctic fjords in Svalbard. From twelve short (48 h) simulations, the Quasi-Normal Scale Elimination scheme for the ABL and the NOAH land surface scheme for the surface were found to perform best and were selected for one long (16 day) simulation. The differences in performance of the standard WRF and Polar WRF were marginal. A warm bias, especially near the surface, was found in the modelled temperature profiles related to underestimated temperature inversion strength and depth. The modelled humidity inversions were generally deeper but weaker than the observed, and often occurred independently of temperature inversions. The largest errors in temperature and humidity occurred under high pressure conditions. Multiple temperature and humidity inversions were usually not captured byWRF. Compared to the compact sea ice east of Svalbard, the modelled temperature and humidity inversions were weaker and less frequent over the fjords. The biases in modelled wind speed profiles were closely related to low-level jets (LLJs); the modelled LLJs were stronger and deeper, and typically located at higher altitudes than the observed LLJs. Errors in the near-surface variables were notably reduced by applying post-processing equations based on othermodelled variables.
    Repository-Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Materialart: Article , isiRev
    Format: application/pdf
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
    BibTip Andere fanden auch interessant ...
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