ALBERT

Description: The objective of this paper is to describe the development and evaluate the performance of a completely new version of the Passive microwave Neural network Precipitation Retrieval (PNPR v2), an algorithm based on a neural network approach, designed to retrieve the instantaneous surface precipitation rate using the cross-track Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) radiometer measurements. This algorithm, developed within the EUMETSAT H-SAF program, represents an evolution of the previous version (PNPR v1), developed for AMSU/MHS radiometers (and used and distributed operationally within H-SAF), with improvements aimed at exploiting the new precipitation-sensing capabilities of ATMS with respect to AMSU/MHS. In the design of the neural network the new ATMS channels compared to AMSU/MHS, and their combinations, including the brightness temperature differences in the water vapor absorption band, around 183 GHz, are considered. The algorithm is based on a single neural network, for all types of surface background, trained using a large database based on 94 cloud-resolving model simulations over the European and the African areas. The performance of PNPR v2 has been evaluated through an intercomparison of the instantaneous precipitation estimates with co-located estimates from the TRMM Precipitation Radar (TRMM-PR) and from the GPM Core Observatory Ku-band Precipitation Radar (GPM-KuPR). In the comparison with TRMM-PR, over the African area the statistical analysis was carried out for a 2-year (2013–2014) dataset of coincident observations over a regular grid at 0.5°  ×  0.5° resolution. The results have shown a good agreement between PNPR v2 and TRMM-PR for the different surface types. The correlation coefficient (CC) was equal to 0.69 over ocean and 0.71 over vegetated land (lower values were obtained over arid land and coast), and the root mean squared error (RMSE) was equal to 1.30 mm h−1 over ocean and 1.11 mm h−1 over vegetated land. The results showed a slight tendency to underestimate moderate to high precipitation, mostly over land, and overestimate moderate to light precipitation over ocean. Similar results were obtained for the comparison with GPM-KuPR over the European area (15 months, from March 2014 to May 2015 of coincident overpasses) with slightly lower CC (0.59 over vegetated land and 0.57 over ocean) and RMSE (0.82 mm h−1 over vegetated land and 0.71 mm h−1 over ocean), confirming a good agreement also between PNPR v2 and GPM-KuPR. The performance of PNPR v2 over the African area was also compared to that of PNPR v1. PNPR v2 has higher R over the different surfaces, with generally better estimation of low precipitation, mostly over ocean, thanks to improvements in the design of the neural network and also to the improved capabilities of ATMS compared to AMSU/MHS. Both versions of PNPR algorithm have shown a general consistency with the TRMM-PR.

Description: This paper describes the first official release (v1.0) of RTTOV-gb. RTTOV-gb is a FORTRAN 90 code developed by adapting the atmospheric radiative transfer code RTTOV, focused on satellite-observing geometry, to the ground-based observing geometry. RTTOV-gb is designed to simulate ground-based upward-looking microwave radiometer (MWR) observations of atmospheric downwelling natural radiation in the frequency range from 22 to 150 GHz. Given an atmospheric profile of temperature, water vapor, and, optionally, cloud liquid water content, and together with a viewing geometry, RTTOV-gb computes downwelling radiances and brightness temperatures leaving the bottom of the atmosphere in each of the channels of the sensor being simulated. In addition, it provides the sensitivity of observations to the atmospheric thermodynamical state, i.e., the Jacobians. Therefore, RTTOV-gb represents the forward model needed to assimilate ground-based MWR data into numerical weather prediction models, which is currently pursued internationally by several weather services. RTTOV-gb is fully described in a previous paper (De Angelis et al., 2016), while several updates are described here. In particular, two new MWR types and a new parameterization for the atmospheric absorption model have been introduced since the first paper. In addition, estimates of the uncertainty associated with the absorption model and with the fast parameterization are given here. Brightness temperatures (TB) computed with RTTOV-gb v1.0 from radiosonde profiles have been compared with ground-based MWR observations in six channels (23.8, 31.4, 72.5, 82.5, 90.0, and 150.0 GHz). The comparison shows statistics within the expected accuracy. RTTOV-gb is now available to licensed users free of charge from the Numerical Weather Prediction Satellite Application Facility (NWP SAF) website, after registration. Coefficients for four MWR instrument types and two absorption model parameterizations are also freely available from the RTTOV-gb support website.

Description: This paper describes the first official release (v1.0) of RTTOV-gb. RTTOV-gb is a FORTRAN 90 code developed by adapting the atmospheric radiative transfer code RTTOV, focused on satellite observing geometry, to the ground-based observing geometry. RTTOV-gb is designed to simulate ground-based upward-looking microwave radiometer (MWR) observations of atmospheric downwelling natural radiation in the frequency range from 22 to 150 GHz. Given an atmospheric profile of temperature, water vapour and, optionally, cloud liquid water content, and together with a viewing geometry, RTTOV-gb computes the bottom of atmosphere radiances and brightness temperatures in each of the channels of the sensor being simulated. In addition, it provides the sensitivity of observations to the atmospheric thermodynamical state, i.e. the Jacobians. Therefeore, RTTOV-gb represents the forward model needed to assimilate ground-based MWR data into numerical weather prediction models, which is currently pursued internationally by several weather services. RTTOV-gb is fully described in a previous paper (De Angelis et al., 2016), while several updates are described here. In particular, two new MWR types and a new parameterization for atmospheric absorption model have been introduced since the first paper. In addition, estimates of the uncertainty associated with the absorption model and with the fast parameterization are given here. Brightness temperatures (TB) computed with RTTOV-gb v1.0 from radiosonde profiles have been compared with ground-based MWR observations at six channels (23.8, 31.4, 72.5, 83.5, 90.0, and 150.0 GHz). The comparison shows statistics within the expected accuracy. RTTOV-gb is now available to licensed users free of charge from the Numerical Weather Prediction Satellite Application Facility (NWP SAF) website, after registration. Coefficients for four MWR instrument types and two absorption model flavors are also freely available from the RTTOV-gb support website.

Description: The objective of this paper is to describe the development and evaluate the performance of a totally new version of the Passive microwave Neural network Precipitation Retrieval (PNPR v2), an algorithm based on a neural network approach, designed to retrieve the instantaneous surface precipitation rate using the cross-track ATMS radiometer measurements. This algorithm, developed within the EUMETSAT H-SAF program, represents an evolution of the previous version (PNPR v1), developed for AMSU/MHS radiometers (and used and distributed operationally within H-SAF), with improvements aimed at exploiting the new precipitation sensing capabilities of ATMS with respect to AMSU/MHS. In the design of the neural network the new ATMS channels compared to AMSU/MHS, and their combinations, including the brightness temperature differences in the water vapor absorption band, around 183 GHz, are considered . The algorithm is based on a single neural network, for all types of surface background, trained using a large database based on 94 cloud-resolving model simulations over the European and the African areas. The performance of PNPR v2 has been evaluated through an intercomparison of the instantaneous precipitation estimates with co-located estimates from the TRMM Precipitation Radar (TRMM-PR) and from the GPM Core Observatory Ku-band Precipitation Radar (GPM-KuPR). In the comparison with TRMM-PR, over the African area, the statistical analysis was carried out for a two-year (2013-2014) dataset of coincident observations, over a regular grid at 0.5° × 0.5° resolution. The results have shown a good agreement between PNPR v2 and TRMM-PR for the different surface types. The correlation coefficient (CC) was equal to 0.69 over ocean and 0.71 over vegetated land (lower values were obtained over arid land and coast), and the root mean squared error (RMSE) was equal to 1.30 mm h−1 over ocean and 1.11 mm h−1 over vegetated land. The results showed a slight tendency to underestimate moderate to high precipitation, mostly over land, and overestimate moderate to light precipitation over ocean. Similar results were obtained for the comparison with GPM-KuPR over the European area (15 months, from March 2014 to May 2015 of coincident overpasses) with slightly lower CC (0.59 over vegetated land and 0.57 over ocean) and RMSE (0.82 mm h−1 over vegetated land and 0.71 mm h−1 over ocean), confirming a good agreement also between PNPR v2 and GPM-KuPR. The performance of PNPR v2 over the African area was also compared to that of PNPR v1. PNPR v2 has higher R over the different surfaces, with general better estimate of low precipitation, mostly over ocean, thanks to improvements in the design of the neural network and also to the improved capabilities of ATMS compared to AMSU/MHS. Both versions of PNPR algorithm have shown a general consistency with the TRMM-PR.

Description: One of the key parameters constituting the basis for the assessment of the operation of stormwater systems is the annual number of storm overflows. Since uncontrolled overflow discharges are a source of pollution washed away from the surface of the catchment area, which leads to an imbalance in the receivers, there is a need for their prognosis and potential reduction. This paper proposes an innovative probabilistic model to simulate the number of storm overflow discharges, which takes into account atmospheric circulation and related rainfall in the research area (the city of Kielce located in the central part of Poland). The developed model consists of two independent elements. The first element is the model of logistic regression, which can be used to model storm overflow discharge resulting from the occurrence of a single rainfall episode. The paper confirmed that storm overflow discharge can be modeled on the basis of data on the total amount of rainfall and its duration. An alternative approach was also proposed, in which the possibility of forecasting overflow discharge only on the basis of the average rainfall intensity was demonstrated, which is a big simplification in simulation of the phenomenon under study in comparison with the works published so far in this scope. It is worth noting that the coefficients determined in logit models have a physical interpretation and these models have a universal character, which is why they can be easily adapted to other examined catchment areas. The second element of the model is a synthetic precipitation generator, in which the simulation of rainfall takes into account its genesis resulting from various processes and phenomena taking place in the troposphere. This approach makes it possible to take into account the stochastic nature of rainfall also in relation to the annual number of events. Calculations made in the paper on the example of the examined catchment allowed to assess the influence of rainfall characteristics (depth, intensity, duration) of different genesis on the probability of storm overflow discharge. On the basis of the obtained results, the range of variability of average rainfall intensity was determined, which determines the discharge by storm overflow, as well as the annual number of discharges resulting from the occurrence of rain of different genesis. The obtained results enable their practical implementation in the assessment of storm overflows only on the basis of knowledge concerning the genetic type of rainfall. They can be used to develop warning systems, in which information on the predicted rainfall genesis is a component of the assessment of the operation of the stormwater system and the facilities located on it.

Description: One of the key parameters constituting the basis for the operational assessment of stormwater systems is the annual number of storm overflows. Since uncontrolled overflows are a source of pollution washed away from the surface of the catchment area, which leads to imbalanced receiving waters, there is a need for their prognosis and potential reduction. The paper presents a probabilistic model for simulating the annual number of storm overflows. In this model, an innovative solution is to use the logistic regression method to analyze the impact of rainfall genesis on the functioning of a storm overflow (OV) in the example of a catchment located in the city of Kielce (central Poland). The developed model consists of two independent elements. The first element of the model is a synthetic precipitation generator, in which the simulation of rainfall takes into account its genesis resulting from various processes and phenomena occurring in the troposphere. This approach makes it possible to account for the stochastic nature of rainfall in relation to the annual number of events. The second element is the model of logistic regression, which can be used to model the storm overflow resulting from the occurrence of a single rainfall event. The paper confirmed that storm overflow can be modeled based on data on the total rainfall and its duration. An alternative approach was also proposed, providing the possibility of predicting storm overflow only based on the average rainfall intensity. Substantial simplification in the simulation of the phenomenon under study was achieved compared with the works published in this area to date. It is worth noting that the coefficients determined in the logit models have a physical interpretation, and the universal character of these models facilitates their easy adaptation to other examined catchment areas. The calculations made in the paper using the example of the examined catchment allowed for an assessment of the influence of rainfall characteristics (depth, intensity, and duration) of different genesis on the probability of storm overflow. Based on the obtained results, the range of the variability of the average rainfall intensity, which determines the storm overflow, and the annual number of overflows resulting from the occurrence of rain of different genesis were defined. The results are suited for the implementation in the assessment of storm overflows only based on the genetic type of rainfall. The results may be used to develop warning systems in which information about the predicted rainfall genesis is an element of the assessment of the rainwater system and its facilities. This approach is an original solution that has not yet been considered by other researchers. On the other hand, it represents an important simplification and an opportunity to reduce the amount of data to be measured.

Description: Ground-based microwave radiometer (MWR) observations of downwelling brightness temperature (TB) are commonly used to estimate atmospheric attenuation at relative transparent channels for radio propagation and telecommunication purposes. The atmospheric attenuation is derived from TB by inverting the radiative transfer equation with a priori knowledge of the mean radiating temperature (TMR). TMR is usually estimated by either time-variant site climatology (e.g., monthly average computed from atmospheric thermodynamical profiles) or condition-variant estimation from surface meteorological sensors. However, information on TMR may also be extracted directly from MWR measurements at channels other than those used to estimate atmospheric attenuation. This paper proposes a novel approach to estimate TMR in clear and cloudy sky from independent MWR profiler measurements. A linear regression algorithm is trained with a simulated dataset obtained by processing 1 year of radiosonde observations of atmospheric thermodynamic profiles. The algorithm is trained to estimate TMR at K- and V–W-band frequencies (22–31 and 72–82 GHz, respectively) from independent MWR observations at the V band (54–58 GHz). The retrieval coefficients are then applied to a 1-year dataset of real V-band observations, and the estimated TMR at the K and V–W band is compared with estimates from nearly colocated and simultaneous radiosondes. The proposed method provides TMR estimates in better agreement with radiosondes than a traditional method, with 32 %–38 % improvement depending on frequency. This maps into an expected improvement in atmospheric attenuation of 10 %–20 % for K-band channels and ∼30 % for V–W-band channels.