ALBERT

Description: Ambient conditions shape microbiome responses to both short- and long-duration environment changes through processes including physiological acclimation, compositional shifts, and evolution. Thus, we predict that microbial communities inhabiting locations with larger diel, episodic, and annual variability in temperature and pH should be less sensitive to shifts in these climate-change factors. To test this hypothesis, we compared responses of surface ocean microbes from more variable (nearshore) and more constant (offshore) sites to short-term factorial warming (+3 °C) and/or acidification (pH -0.3). In all cases, warming alone significantly altered microbial community composition, while acidification had a minor influence. Compared with nearshore microbes, warmed offshore microbiomes exhibited larger changes in community composition, phylotype abundances, respiration rates, and metatranscriptomes, suggesting increased sensitivity of microbes from the less-variable environment. Moreover, while warming increased respiration rates, offshore metatranscriptomes yielded evidence of thermal stress responses in protein synthesis, heat shock proteins, and regulation. Future oceans with warmer waters may enhance overall metabolic and biogeochemical rates, but they will host altered microbial communities, especially in relatively thermally stable regions of the oceans.

Description: Recent decades have seen a rise in the use of physics methods to study different societal phenomena. This development has been due to physicists venturing outside of their traditional domains of interest, but also due to scientists from other disciplines taking from physics the methods that have proven so successful throughout the 19th and the 20th century. Here we characterise the field with the term ‘social physics’ and pay our respect to intellectual mavericks who nurtured it to maturity. We do so by reviewing the current state of the art. Starting with a set of topics that are at the heart of modern human societies, we review research dedicated to urban development and traffic, the functioning of financial markets, cooperation as the basis for our evolutionary success, the structure of social networks, and the integration of intelligent machines into these networks. We then shift our attention to a set of topics that explore potential threats to society. These include criminal behaviour, large-scale migration, epidemics, environmental challenges, and climate change. We end the coverage of each topic with promising directions for future research. Based on this, we conclude that the future for social physics is bright. Physicists studying societal phenomena are no longer a curiosity, but rather a force to be reckoned with. Notwithstanding, it remains of the utmost importance that we continue to foster constructive dialogue and mutual respect at the interfaces of different scientific disciplines.

Description: This article is concerned with the security issue in the state estimation problem for a networked control system (NCS). A new model of joint false data injection (FDI) attack is established wherein attacks are injected to both the remote estimator and the communication channels. Such a model is general that includes most existing FDI attack models as special cases. The joint FDI attacks are subjected to limited access and/or resource constraints, and this gives rise to a few attack scenarios to be examined one by one. Our objective is to establish the so-called insecurity conditions under which there exists an attack sequence capable of driving the estimation bias to infinity while bypassing the anomaly detector. By resorting to the generalized inverse theory, necessary and sufficient conditions are derived for the insecurity under different attack scenarios. Subsequently, easy-to-implement algorithms are proposed to generate attack sequences on insecure NCSs with respect to different attack scenarios. In particular, by using a matrix splitting technique, the constraint-induced sparsity of the attack vectors is dedicatedly investigated. Finally, several numerical examples are presented to verify the effectiveness of the proposed FDI attacks.

Description: Correlation analysis serves as an easy-to-implement estimation approach for the quantification of the interaction or connectivity between different units. Often, pairwise correlations estimated by sliding windows are time-varying (on different window segments) and window size-dependent (on different window sizes). Still, how to choose an appropriate window size remains unclear. This paper offers a framework for studying this fundamental question by observing a critical transition from a chaotic-like state to a nonchaotic state. Specifically, given two time series and a fixed window size, we create a correlation-based series based on nonlinear correlation measurement and sliding windows as an approximation of the time-varying correlations between the original time series. We find that the varying correlations yield a state transition from a chaotic-like state to a nonchaotic state with increasing window size. This window size-dependent transition is analyzed as a universal phenomenon in both model and real-world systems (e.g., climate, financial, and neural systems). More importantly, the transition point provides a quantitative rule for the selection of window sizes. That is, the nonchaotic correlation better allows for many regression-based predictions. Complex connections between different units can be simply approximated by correlation analysis between corresponding time series. When the complete information (the entire time series) is considered for analysis, dynamic connections are aggregated into a single value, reflecting the overall macro linkage. When segmented information (a sliced time series) is combined with sliding windows, the underlying dynamic connections can be approximated by time-varying correlations. Intuitively, the longer the segments are, the more likely to capture cyclic behavior. A typical example is that in climate science, large-scale climate phenomena, such as seasonal changes induced by the annual cycle of solar radiation, are not observable on the timescale of diurnal cycles. Similarly, for correlation analysis, choosing a suitable window scale to capture the necessary patterns hidden in the time series is fundamental; yet, how to do so is unclear. We intend to address this issue in our work.

Description: This paper is concerned with the hybrid Nash equilibrium (NE) seeking problem over a network in a partial-decision information scenario. Each agent has access to both its own cost function and local decision information of its neighbors. First, an adaptive gradient-based algorithm is constructed in a fully distributed manner with the guaranteed convergence to the NE, where the network communication is required. Second, in order to save communication cost, a novel event-triggered scheme, namely, edge-based adaptive dynamic event-triggered (E-ADET) scheme, is proposed with on-line-tuned triggering parameter and threshold, and such a scheme is proven to be fully distributed and free of Zeno behavior. Then, a hybrid NE seeking algorithm, which is also fully distributed, is constructed under the E-ADET scheme. By means of the Lipschitz continuity and the strong monotonicity of the pseudo-gradient mapping, we show the convergence of the proposed algorithms to the NE. Compared with the existing distributed algorithms, our algorithms remove the requirement on global information, thereby exhibiting the merits of both flexibility and scalability. Finally, two examples are provided to validate the proposed NE seeking methods.

Description: Precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau is modulated by both the South Asian summer monsoon and the mid-latitude westerly winds. Using observations and numerical simulations, this study highlights the out-of-phase relationships between the mid-latitude westerly wind speeds and the west-east migration of Tibetan Plateau rainy season. When the westerly jet shifts northward before July, the weakening of westerly winds over the Tibetan Plateau leads to a westward shift of low-level warm air center and a westward extension of moist air convergence. Consequently, rainy season advances westward. Conversely, the southward shift of westerly jet after August leads to a strengthening of westerly winds and an eastward retreat of rainy season. Numerical simulations confirm the dominant role of mid-latitude westerly winds on the rain belt migration over the Tibetan Plateau, and further indicate that the timing of the westward extension of rain belt is determined by the weakening of mid-latitude westerly winds.

Description: This article studies the diffusion-source-inference (DSI) problem, whose solution plays an important role in real-world scenarios such as combating misinformation and controlling diffusions of information or disease. The main task of the DSI problem is to optimize an estimator, such that the real source can be more precisely targeted. In this article, we assume that the state of a number of nodes, called observer set, in a network could be investigated if necessary, and study what configuration of those nodes could facilitate a better solution for the DSI problem. In particular, we find that the conventional error distance metric cannot precisely evaluate the effectiveness of varied DSI approaches in heterogeneous networks, and thus propose a novel and more general measurement, the candidate set, that is formulated to contain the diffusion source for sure. We propose the percolation-based evolutionary framework (PrEF) to optimize the observer set such that the candidate set can be minimized. Hence, one could further conduct more intensive investigation or search on only a few nodes to target the source. To achieve that, we first theoretically show that the size of the candidate set is bounded by the size of the largest component cover, and demonstrate that there are some similarities between the DSI problem and the network immunization problem. We find that, given the associated direction information of the diffusion is known on observers, the minimization of the candidate set is equivalent to the minimization of the order parameter if we view the observer set as the removal node set. Hence, PrEF is developed based on the network percolation and evolutionary algorithm. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated on both synthetic and empirical networks in regard to varied circumstances. Our results show that the developed approach could achieve much smaller candidate sets compared to the state of the art in almost all cases, e.g., it is better in 26 out of 27 empirical networks and 155 out of 162 cases regarding the critical threshold. Meanwhile, our approach is also more stable, i.e., it works well irrespective of varied infection probabilities, diffusion models, and underlying networks. More importantly, we provide a framework for the analysis of the DSI problem in large-scale networks.

Description: Tipping elements are components of the Earth system that may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at specific thresholds. It is not well understood to what degree tipping of one system can influence other regions or tipping elements. Here, we propose a climate network approach to analyse the global impacts of a prominent tipping element, the Amazon Rainforest Area (ARA). We find that the ARA exhibits strong correlations with regions such as the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and West Antarctic ice sheet. Models show that the identified teleconnection propagation path between the ARA and the TP is robust under climate change. In addition, we detect that TP snow cover extent has been losing stability since 2008. We further uncover that various climate extremes between the ARA and the TP are synchronized under climate change. Our framework highlights that tipping elements can be linked and also the potential predictability of cascading tipping dynamics.

Description: Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is an irreversible neurodegenerative disease. But if AD is detected early, it can greatly reduce the severity of the disease. Functional connection networks (FCNs) can be used for the early diagnosis of AD, but they are undirected graphs and lack the description of causal information. Moreover, most of FCNs take brain regions as nodes, and few studies have been carried out focusing on the connections of the brain network. Although effective connection networks (ECNs) are digraphs, they do not reflect the causal relationships between brain connections. Therefore, we innovatively propose an edge-centric ECN (EECN) to explore the causality of the co-fluctuating connection in brain networks. Firstly, the traditional conditional Granger causality (GC) method is improved for constructing ECNs based on the suppression relationship between structural connection network (SCN) and FCN. Then based on the improved GC method, edge time series and EECNs are constructed. Finally, we perform dichotomous tasks on four stages of AD to verify the accuracy of our proposed method. The results show that this method achieves good results in six classification tasks. Finally, we present some brain connections that may be essential for early AD classification tasks. This study may have a positive impact on the application of brain networks.