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  • 2020-2024  (2)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2023-07-26
    Description: We propose a new method for estimating how much decisions under monadic uncertainty matter. The method is generic and suitable for measuring responsibility in finite horizon sequential decision processes. It fulfills “fairness” requirements and three natural conditions for responsibility measures: agency, avoidance and causal relevance. We apply the method to study how much decisions matter in a stylized greenhouse gas emissions process in which a decision maker repeatedly faces two options: start a “green” transition to a decarbonized society or further delay such a transition. We account for the fact that climate decisions are rarely implemented with certainty and that their consequences on the climate and on the global economy are uncertain. We discover that a “moral” approach towards decision making — doing the right thing even though the probability of success becomes increasingly small — is rational over a wide range of uncertainties.
    Language: English
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
    Format: application/pdf
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2023-07-12
    Description: The acquisition of a stratigraphically intact Antarctic ice column spanning the past 1.5 million years requires understanding of the thermal state of both the basal layer of the ice sheet and the underlying bed, which are influenced strongly by the coupled boundary conditions of geothermal heat flow and accumulation rate. However, geothermal heat flow, crustal structure, lithology, and other geological controls on thermal and hydraulic conductivity are poorly understood for likely ‘old ice’ regions of Antarctica. In the 2022/23 Antarctic field season, we collected over 20,000 line km of new airborne radar, magnetics, and gravity data over a poorly-surveyed region of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet between Dome A and the South Pole. We present updated maps of subglacial topography and ice thickness, as well as free-air and Bouguer anomaly grids, which can be used to make preliminary inferences about the crustal framework and basal thermal regime of the study area. These data, supplemented by existing geophysical observations, will inform further airborne and ground-based geophysical surveys and provide important context for ice flow models and selection of potential sites for old ice drilling operations.
    Language: English
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject
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