ALBERT

Description: Statistical methods such as multiple linear regression (MLR) and classification and regression tree (CART) analysis were used to build prediction models for the levels of pollutant concentrations in Macao using meteorological and air quality historical data to three periods: (i) from 2013 to 2016, (ii) from 2015 to 2018, and (iii) from 2013 to 2018. The variables retained by the models were identical for nitrogen dioxide (NO2), particulate matter (PM10), PM2.5, but not for ozone (O3) Air pollution data from 2019 was used for validation purposes. The model for the 2013 to 2018 period was the one that performed best in prediction of the next-day concentrations levels in 2019, with high coefficient of determination (R2), between predicted and observed daily average concentrations (between 0.78 and 0.89 for all pollutants), and low root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and biases (BIAS). To understand if the prediction model was robust to extreme variations in pollutants concentration, a test was performed under the circumstances of a high pollution episode for PM2.5 and O3 during 2019, and the low pollution episode during the period of implementation of the preventive measures for COVID-19 pandemic. Regarding the high pollution episode, the period of the Chinese National Holiday of 2019 was selected, in which high concentration levels were identified for PM2.5 and O3, with peaks of daily concentration exceeding 55 μg/m3 and 400 μg/m3, respectively. The 2013 to 2018 model successfully predicted this high pollution episode with high coefficients of determination (of 0.92 for PM2.5 and 0.82 for O3). The low pollution episode for PM2.5 and O3 was identified during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic period, with a low record of daily concentration for PM2.5 levels at 2 μg/m3 and O3 levels at 50 μg/m3, respectively. The 2013 to 2018 model successfully predicted the low pollution episode for PM2.5 and O3 with a high coefficient of determination (0.86 and 0.84, respectively). Overall, the results demonstrate that the statistical forecast model is robust and able to correctly reproduce extreme air pollution events of both high and low concentration levels.

Description: The Vale do Curaçá and Riacho do Pontal copper districts are located within the northern part of the Archaean São Francisco Craton and represent two pulses of mineralization. The copper districts have been identified as Iron-Oxide-Copper-Gold (IOCG) classes of deposits. An older metallogenic event associated with the Caraíba copper deposit, which is located in the Vale do Curaçá district, is related to Palaeoproterozoic (ca. 2 to 2.2 Ga) hydrothermal processes. A younger Neoproterozoic (ca. 750 to 570 Ma) episode of volcanism and associated plutonism is represented by the Riacho do Pontal mineral district. Seismic tomography data from across east-central Brazil show that the multiage Carajás province and Vale do Curaçá and Riacho do Pontal copper districts sit along either side of a prominent NW-trending upper lithospheric high-velocity zone. The edges of the high-velocity zone point to long-lived subparallel transcrustal structures that have been the focus of multiple reactivations and copper mineralization events. Regional gravity and magnetic maps show that the Vale do Curaçá copper district extends over an area greater than 110 km by 22 km. The magnetic and gravity values show significant variations correlated with this area. The district includes high gravity values associated with the Caraíba copper mine (〉−35 mGal), which has a greater density (3.13 g/cm³) than the nonmineralized host rock density (2.98 g/cm³). The gravity anomaly signature over the Riacho do Pontal copper district is characterized by a 40-km long NW–SE trending Bouguer gravity low. The Ria4 occurrences of the Riacho do Pontal copper district are situated in these regional low-gravity domains. Data from regional airborne magnetic and ground gravity surveys were inverted to obtain a 3D magnetic susceptibility and density model, respectively, for the known districts. The results show that the Caraíba deposit is characterized by a both dense and magnetic source showing structural control by thrust shear zones. The 2D and 3D geological models show two main NNW prospective trends. Trends I and II have a sigmoidal shear shape and are positioned in the contact zone between domains with high magnetic susceptibility (SI 〉 0.005) and density 〉 0 g/cm³). Trend I is 40 km × 10 km in size and hosts the Caraíba, Surubim, and Vermelho copper mines and other minor deposits. The results obtained from the 3D magnetic inversion model for the region of the Riacho do Pontal district show weak magnetic anomaly highs extending along a NW–SE magnetic gradient trend. The gradient is related to mapped shear zones that overprint older and deeper NE–SW features of the São Francisco cratonic root. The area includes high gravity values associated with the Caraíba copper deposit, which has a greater density (3.13 g/cm³) than the nonmineralized host rock density (2.4 g/cm³).