ALBERT

Description: We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios. Compared to the CMIP5‐based sea‐level projections presented in IPCC AR5, we introduce a number of methodological innovations, including: (i) more comprehensive treatment of uncertainties; (ii) direct traceability between global and local projections; (iii) exploratory extended projections to 2300 based on emulation of individual CMIP5 models. Combining the projections with observed tide gauge records, we explore the contribution to total variance that arises from sea‐level variability, different emissions scenarios and model uncertainty. For the period out to 2300 we further breakdown the model uncertainty by sea‐level component and consider the dependence on geographic location, time horizon and emissions scenario. Our analysis highlights the importance of variability for sea‐level change in the coming decades and the potential value of annual‐to‐decadal predictions of local sea‐level change. Projections to 2300 show a substantial degree of committed sea‐level rise under all emissions scenarios considered and highlights the reduced future risk associated with RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 compared to RCP8.5. Tide gauge locations can show large (〉 50%) departures from the global average, in some cases even reversing the sign of the change. While uncertainty in projections of the future Antarctic ice dynamic response tends to dominate post‐2100, we see a substantial differences in the breakdown of model variance as a function of location, timescale and emissions scenario.

Description: Energy dispersive X-ray microanalysis was used to localize the two brominated natural products (aerothinonin and homoaerothionin) in the tissues of a marine demosponge, Aplysina fistularis. Virtually all of these compounds were localized within the spherules of the spherulous cells in the mesohyl. This is the first localization of any secondary metabolite at the cellular or sub-cellular level in any marine invertebrate. In Aplysina fistularis, as in other species of the same genus studied by Vacelet, the spherulous cells are concentrated just beneath the exopinacoderm and just beneath the endopinacoderm of the excurrent canals. Moreover, there is electron microscopic evidence for degeneration of some spherulous cells throughout the mesohyl. Presumably, this degeneration can release some aerothionin and homoaerothionin, which are known to have antibiotic properties. After release from the spherulous cells, these brominated natural products could function (1) within the mesohyl to exclude some types of bacteria or to aggregate ingested bacteria and/or (2) within the boundary layer of the surrounding seawater for defense or offense, as considered in the discussion section.

Description: The interaction between thrust and strike slip fault systems is well detailed in Pakistan where the Chaman transform zone connects the Makran and Himalayan convergence zones and contains an internal convergence zone in the Zhob district. The transform zone contains numerous strike slip faults of which the Chaman fault proper is the westernmost. We can demonstrate at least 200 km of left lateral displacement along the Chaman fault alone. In the Zhob belt N-S shortening by folds and a major thrust fault amounts to several dozen kilometres. The 400 km wide Makran convergence zone is now being shortened by E-W oriented folds, thrust faults, and reverse faults. As these faults in the Makran zone approach the transform zone, their traces bend to the N and motion on each of them becomes oblique, combining reverse and left lateral slip. They merge continuously with the strike slip faults of the Chaman transform zone. The Makran thrust system and the Chaman transform zone first became active in the late Oligocene or early Miocene. Later (Pliocene?), a component of left lateral shear occurred across the entire Makran Zone in association with the opening of the newly identified Haman-i-Mashkel fault trough S of the Chagai Hills and W of the Ras Koh. The total displacement and displacement rate across the Chaman transform zone varies in response to the rates of convergence in the plates E and W of the zone.

Description: The widespread occurrence of organic-carbon-rich strata (‘black shales’) in certain portions of Jurassic, Cretaceous and Cenozoic sequences has been well-documented from Deep Sea Drilling Project sites in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans and from sequences, now exposed on land, originally deposited in the Tethyan ocean. These ancient black shales usually have been explained by analogy with examples of modern deep-sea sediments in which organic matter locally is preserved by (1) increasing the supply of organic matter, (2) increasing the rate of sedimentation, and/or (3) decreasing the oxygen content of the bottom water. However, detailed examination of many black shales reveals characteristics that cannot be explained by simple local models, including: their approximate coincidence in time globally; their occurrence in a variety of different environments, including open oxygenated oceans, restricted basins, deep and shallow water; their interbedding with organic-carbonpoor strata which often dominate a so-called black shale sequence; their deposition by pelagic, hemipelagic, turbiditic and other processes; and the variations in type and amount of organic matter that occur even within the same sequence. A more complex model for the origin of black shales therefore appears most appropriate, in which the cyclic preservation of organic matter depends on the interplay of the three main variables, namely supply of organic matter, sedimentation rate, and deep-water oxygenation, each of which varies independently to some extent. The variation and relative importance of these parameters in individual basins and widespread black shale deposition in general are linked globally and temporally by changes in global sea-level, climate and related changes in oceanic circulation. An important and often overlooked factor for the supply of organic matter to deep-basin sediments is the frequency and magnitude of redepositional processes. The interplay of these variables is discussed in relation to the middle Cretaceous and Cenozoic organic-carbon-rich strata, in particular, which show marked differences in the relative importance of the different variables.

Description: Current and wind stress time series obtained from the F1-mooring are analysed with the aim of examining linear correspondences and testing the adequacy of linear coupling models at near-inertial frequencies. Significant linear correlations are found in the data set which are consistent with a linear winddriven model of the current system. The current in the mixed layer can be described by inertial oscillations directly forced by the local wind stress. A wind-driven simulation model of the mixed layer currents yields an energy input of 3.10-3 W/m2. The current in the thermocline can be described by a linear internal wave field of downward propagating wave groups driven via Ekman suction by the wind stress field. Internal waves are generated at a rate of 10-3 W/m2, consistently estimated from both kinematic and dynamic considerations.