Publikationsdatum:
2020-10-28
Beschreibung:
Indices of oscillatory behavior are conveniently obtained by projecting the fields in question into a phase space of low (mostly two) dimension; Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs) or other, more dynamical modes, are typically used for the projection. If sufficiently coherent and in quadrature, the projected variables simply describe a rotating vector in the phase space which then serves as the basis for predictions. Using the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation (BSISO) as a test case, an alternative procedure is introduced: it augments the original fields with their Hilbert transform (HT) to form a complex series, and projects it onto its (single) dominant EOF. Real and imaginary part of the corresponding complex pattern and index are compared with those of the original (real) EOF. The new index explains slightly less variance of the physical fields than the original, but it is much more coherent, partly from its use of future information by the HT. Because the latter is in the way of real-time monitoring, the index can only be used in cases with predicted physical fields, for which it promises to be superior. By developing a causal approximation of the HT, a real-time variant of the index is obtained whose coherency is comparable to the non-causal version, but with smaller explained variance of the physical fields. In test cases the new index compares well to other indices of BSISO. The potential for using both indices as an alternative are discussed.
Print ISSN:
0894-8755
Digitale ISSN:
1520-0442
Thema:
Geographie
,
Geologie und Paläontologie
,
Physik
Permalink
