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Climate-change studies in the western Himalaya (2010)

Shekhar, M.S. ; Chand, H. ; Kumar, S. ; [et al.]

Cambridge University Press

In: Annals of Glaciology. 2010; 51(54): 105-112. Published 2010 Jan 01. doi: 10.3189/172756410791386508.

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Publication Date: 2010-01-01

Description: The high Himalayan mountains in the north of India are important sources for generating and maintaining the climate over the entire northern belt of the Indian subcontinent. They also influence extreme weather events, such as the western disturbances over the region during winter. The work presented here describes some current trends in weather and climate over the western Himalaya and suggests some possible explanations in the context of climate change. The work also shows how the special features of Indian orography in the western Himalaya affect climate change in the long term, changing the pattern of precipitation over the region. Data analysis of different ranges of the western Himalaya shows significant variations in temperature and snowfall trends in the past few decades. Possible explanations for the changing climate over the western Himalaya are proposed, in terms of variations in cloudiness. The possible effects of climate change on the number of snowfall days and the occurrences of western disturbances over the western Himalaya are also analysed.

Print ISSN: 0260-3055

Electronic ISSN: 1727-5644

Topics: Geography , Geosciences

Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of International Glaciological Society.

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Statistical downscaling of MM5 model output to better assess avalanche threats (2010)

Srinivasan, K. ; Kumar, Ajay ; Verma, Jyoti ; [et al.]

Cambridge University Press

In: Annals of Glaciology. 2010; 51(54): 14-18. Published 2010 Jan 01. doi: 10.3189/172756410791386472.

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Publication Date: 2010-01-01

Description: In this study, we use MM5 weather-forecast model output and observed surface weather data from 11 stations in the western Himalaya to develop a statistical downscaling model (SDM) to better predict precipitation, 10 m wind speed and 2 m temperature. The analysis covers three consecutive winters: 2004/05, 2005/06 and 2006/07. The performance of the SDM was assessed using an independent dataset from the 2007/08 winter season. This assessment shows that the SDM technique substantially improves the forecast over specific station locations, which is important for avalanche-threat assessment.

Print ISSN: 0260-3055

Electronic ISSN: 1727-5644

Topics: Geography , Geosciences

Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of International Glaciological Society.

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