Publication Date:
2022-05-25
Description:
Author Posting. © Elsevier B.V., 2008. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of Elsevier B.V. for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Harmful Algae 7 (2008): 772-781, doi:10.1016/j.hal.2008.03.002.
Description:
In this study, we develop a framework for measuring the value of harmful algal bloom
(HAB) predictions. The framework captures the effects of both private and public
responses to HABs. Using data from the New England nearshore commercial shellfish
fishery and impact estimates for a large-scale HAB event in 2005, we illustrate how the
potential value of HAB forecasts may be estimated. The results of our study suggest that
the long-term value of a HAB prediction and tracking system for the Gulf of Maine is
sensitive to the frequency of HAB events, the accuracy of predictions, the choice of HAB
impact measures, and the effectiveness of public and private responses.
Description:
This paper is a
result of research funded in part by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration’s Coastal Ocean Program under award #NA04NOS4780270 to the
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.
Keywords:
Harmful algal bloom (HAB)
;
Red tide
;
Fisheries
;
Value of information
;
Forecast
;
Marine scientific research
Repository Name:
Woods Hole Open Access Server
Type:
Preprint
Format:
application/pdf
