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  • 1
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    The Financialization of Food? (2017)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2017-01-05
    Description: Commodity-equity return co-movements rose dramatically during the Great Recession. This development took place following what has been dubbed the "financialization" of commodity markets. We first document changes since 1995 in the relative importance of financial institutions’ activity in agricultural futures markets. We then use a structural vector autoregression (VAR) model to ascertain the role of that activity in explaining correlations between weekly grain, livestock, and equity returns from 1995–2015. We provide robust evidence that, accounting for shocks that are idiosyncratic to agricultural markets, world business cycle shocks have a substantial and long-lasting impact on the latter’s co-movements with financial markets. In contrast, changes in the intensity of financial speculation have an impact on cross-market return linkages that is shorter-lived and not statistically significant in all model specifications.
    Keywords: G12 - Asset Pricing ; Trading volume ; Bond Interest Rates, G13 - Contingent Pricing ; Futures Pricing, Q11 - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis ; Prices, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 2
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    Evaluating Policy Design Choices for the Margin Protection Program for Dairy Producers: An Expected Indemnity Approach (2016)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2016-12-07
    Description: The Agricultural Act of 2014 replaced dairy product price supports and countercyclical income support payments with the Margin Protection Program for Dairy Producers. Using farm-level data, producer decisions and aggregate policy costs under a variety of risk environments and policy design alternatives are simulated. Fixed premium rates may result in budget outlays that are substantially higher than for equivalent variable-rate insurance subsidized at levels observed in revenue-based crop insurance policies. Due to the absence of adjusted gross income or production eligibility constraints, a significant portion of benefits may accrue to a small share of large dairy farms.
    Keywords: Q11 - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis ; Prices, Q12 - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 2040-5790
    Electronic ISSN: 2040-5804
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 3
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    A Framework to Analyze the Performance of Thinly Traded Agricultural Commodity Markets (2016)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2016-03-31
    Description: Thinly traded agricultural commodity markets are a concern for farmers and policy markers due to the belief that prices in these settings will be highly volatile, subject to manipulation, and incapable of efficiently allocating resources. Analysis of thin agricultural markets has to date been impeded by lack of an appropriate analytical framework from which to study their behavior. In this paper we propose the modern agricultural markets (MAM) framework as an appropriate paradigm through which to view and evaluate thin markets. We argue that thinly traded markets that meet key conditions required for a MAM will generate maximum economic surplus and enable farmers to earn at least a competitive return on their investments. In the absence of these conditions, however, the concerns known as the "thin market problem" have validity. We set forth the MAM framework, interpret it in a thin-market context, and conduct several brief case studies of thin markets to illustrate use of the approach and draw some key inferences about these markets' behavior. The analysis indicates that appropriate government policies directed to thin markets are those that facilitate their convergence to MAM status, but in reality key policies under recent consideration would have the opposite effect.
    Keywords: L10 - General, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 4
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    Making Sustainability Tangible: Land O'Lakes and the Dairy Supply Chain (2016)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2016-03-31
    Description: This case study examines the challenges of implementing a vaguely defined concept called sustainability in a large organization that also has a cooperative structure. Stakeholder theory is described and applied to a multinational dairy firm. The case firm, Land O'Lakes, must balance the needs of multiple constituencies: the general public, employees, cooperative members, external funding organizations, and the management team. One challenge is to define sustainability for the entire dairy industry. The case discusses the strategies used by firms in developing a sustainability response where the tradeoffs between different strategies are between credibility and autonomy and using an industry rather than a firm-level response.
    Keywords: L15 - Information and Product Quality ; Standardization and Compatibility, L66 - Food ; Beverages ; Cosmetics ; Tobacco ; Wine and Spirits, M14 - Corporate Culture ; Social Responsibility, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 5
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    Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work? (2016)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2016-02-10
    Description: We investigate storage in the presence of backwardation and the existence of the Working curve for Chicago Board of Trade corn, soybeans, and wheat markets and the Kansas City Board of Trade wheat market using 1990–2010 data. Two spread measures—the futures-spot and futures-futures—are matched with deliverable stocks on the first Friday of delivery. To account for grade and location aggregation issues, the futures-spot spreads are measured using the lowest spot bid and highest futures price. Storage in the presence of backwardation is pervasive both in terms of the percentage of observations and the magnitude of the stockholdings. The Working curve emerges most clearly in KCBT wheat and soybeans. Convenience yield is also supported by the negligible holdings of delivery shipping certificates in backwardations. Overall, the results show that the Working curve does indeed still work today. When evaluating policy proposals to deal with heightened price volatility in agricultural markets it is important that models incorporate this well-established relationship.
    Keywords: G13 - Contingent Pricing ; Futures Pricing, Q11 - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis ; Prices, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 2040-5790
    Electronic ISSN: 2040-5804
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 6
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    Production standards, competition and vertical relationship (2015)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2015-12-29
    Description: This article investigates the collective choice of production standards by farmer and processor groups within a vertical food supply chain, taking into account their competition behaviours. We develop a general model to analyse the strategic motive of using standards to limit supply and shift rents between farmers and processors in the vertical chain. We find that a stringent standard can raise farmers' profit, but at the expense of processors. This is the case when the standard affects more variable costs than fixed cost of production, when the demand for the final product is inelastic, and when processors have a high degree of oligopoly power.
    Keywords: L13 - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 0165-1587
    Electronic ISSN: 1464-3618
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 7
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    Cooperative stability under stochastic quality and farmer heterogeneity (2015)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2015-10-31
    Description: Many cooperatives and related organisations use revenue pooling wherein products across multiple quality levels are commingled. Recent work showed that pooling ensures farmers against risks due to stochastic product quality and counteracts farmers' tendency to overproduce high-quality product. We extend their analysis to incorporate farmers who are heterogeneous in ability to produce high-quality products. We show that the revenue-pooling benefits of cooperation may be sufficient to cause high-quality producers to join a cooperative and pool revenues, at least partially, with lower-quality producers. We explore the producer and market characteristics conducive to the emergence of stable revenue-pooling cooperatives.
    Keywords: P13 - Cooperative Enterprises, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 0165-1587
    Electronic ISSN: 1464-3618
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 8
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    Managerial vision bias and cooperative governance (2015)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2015-10-31
    Description: What causes firms to behave the way they do when they face different investment opportunities? We argue that both people and processes are behind the decision-making of project implementation. Member and professional CEOs of cooperatives differ regarding their managerial vision towards upstream and downstream projects. Cooperatives with member CEOs are upstream focused and it is reflected by the cascading effect of negative vision bias towards downstream projects. When downstream activities become more important, cooperatives need to replace the member CEOs with professional CEOs. However, a cooperative with a professional CEO may still be in a disadvantageous position if the member-dominated Board of Directors' negative bias towards downstream projects is too strong, which may result in an investor owned firm being the efficient governance structure.
    Keywords: D21 - Firm Behavior, L23 - Organization of Production, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 0165-1587
    Electronic ISSN: 1464-3618
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 9
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    Reputation tapping (2015)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2015-07-29
    Description: Models describing the development of collective reputation have focused on the impact of past performance measures, but ignore the role of various marketing efforts for food and beverage products that highlight appellation information. We designed a laboratory experiment and used auction data to estimate consumer response to information tying US wine regions to famous wine production regions in France, a phenomenon we define as reputation tapping. Results show that reputation tapping increases bids for the wines produced in burgeoning US wine regions. Our findings also suggest that full protection of geographical indications may require monitoring of activities beyond those by individual firms.
    Keywords: C91 - Laboratory, Individual Behavior, L14 - Transactional Relationships ; Contracts and Reputation ; Networks, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 0165-1587
    Electronic ISSN: 1464-3618
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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  • 10
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    Direct Payments, Spatial Competition, and Farm Survival in Norway (2015)
    Oxford University Press
    Details
    Publication Date: 2015-07-10
    Description: We argue that farm survival is influenced by neighboring farmers’ characteristics and, in particular, by the direct payments neighboring farmers receive. The article shows empirically that these interdependencies are crucial for an assessment of the effects of direct payments on farm survival. Using spatially explicit farm-level data for nearly all Norwegian farms, a spatial probit model is estimated to explain farm survival from 1999 to 2009 controlling for spatial farm interdependence. We show that ignoring spatial interdependencies between farms leads to a substantial overestimation of the effects of direct payments on farm survival. To our knowledge, this article is the first attempt to empirically analyze the importance of neighboring interdependencies for the effects of direct payments on farm survival.
    Keywords: C21 - Cross-Sectional Models ; Spatial Models ; Treatment Effect Models, C25 - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models, Q12 - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets, Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
    Published by Oxford University Press
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