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  • Articles  (10)
  • simulation  (10)
  • 1990-1994  (5)
  • 1985-1989  (5)
  • Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying  (10)
  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    An adaptable microcomputer model for evacuation management (1989)
    Springer
    Fire technology 25 (1989), S. 291-307 
    Details
    ISSN: 1572-8099
    Keywords: evacuation management ; model-based support systems ; simulation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying
    Notes: Abstract A simulation method is presented which enables a modeler to identify dangerous bottlenecks for emergency building evacuation and to test the sensitivity of occupant exit behavior to evacuation improvement strategies. The modeling method is tested against landmark evacuation data of Pauls and Jones, and used to predict problems and solutions for a complex evacuation situation involving a large university building with multiple exit choices. Some concluding remarks are addressed to a future research agenda for this method.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01040378
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    On a stochastic description of the time-space behaviour of extratropical cyclonic precipitation fields (1987)
    Springer
    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 1 (1987), S. 37-52 
    Details
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Cyclonic precipitation ; mathematical modeling ; simulation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A stochastic description is developed for extratropical cyclonic precipitation fields at synoptic and meso scales as they are typically observed by radars over the Earth. This description attempts to account I) for the synoptic scale behavior of a cyclonic storm (its birth, its synoptic scale motion trajectory, and its dissipation) II) for the synoptic-scale organizational structure of subsynoptic precipitation areas (rainbands, precipitation cores and raincells) within a cyclonic storm; and III) for the behavior of subsynoptic precipitation areas, in terms of their births, their spatial configuration evolutions, their motions, and their deaths (dissipation). The precipitation cores and the raincells are taken as the building blocks of the subsynoptic precipitation, areas within a cyclonic rainfield.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01543908
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  • 3
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Simulation of the time-space evolution of an extratropical cyclonic precipitation field over USA (1988)
    Springer
    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 2 (1988), S. 281-294 
    Details
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: precipitation field ; stochastic time-space evolution ; simulation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract The time-space evolution of an extratropical cyclonic precipitation field over U S A is simulated in a stochastic setting as outlined in Kavvas et al. (1988). The birth of a cyclonic storm is characterized by the simultaneous birth of a cyclone center and births of subsynoptic precipitation areas (SPA) at preferred locations around the cyclone center. The precipitation cores and cells which are used as the fundamental building blocks of the SPAs are approximated by circular precipitation areas (CPA) of different sizes. The time space evolution of the precipitation field after the birth is governed by (1) the movement of the synoptic cyclone described by the cyclone center trajectory, (2) independent nonidentically distributed random velocities of the individual CPAs relative to the cyclone center, (3) the births of new CPAs in time and space relative to the cyclone center, (4) the independent evolution in time of the individual spatially uniform intensities of the existing CPAs, (5) the expansion and shrinkage of the existing CPAs in the course of movement and (6) the dissipation (death) of a random number of existing CPAs within the cyclonic system. The computer simulation, the results of which are presented in this paper, successfully reproduced the general mesoscale and synoptic scale features of the radar detected cyclonic rain fields as observed by Austin and Houze (1972), Houze et al. (1976), Hobbs (1978), Hobbs and Locatelli (1978), Houze (1981), Houze and Hobbs (1982) and others.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01544041
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  • 4
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Stochastic analysis of estuarine hydraulics (1989)
    Springer
    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 3 (1989), S. 71-84 
    Details
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Hydraulics ; quasilinearization ; simulation ; stochastic ; estuarine system ; Monte Carlo methods ; random differential equations ; parameter uncertainty
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A new methodology is presented for the solution of the stochastic hydraulic equations characterizing steady, one-dimensional estuarine flow. The methodology is predicated on quasi-linearization, perturbation methods, and the finite difference approximation of the stochastic differential operators. Assuming Manning's roughness coefficient is the principal source of uncertainty in the model, stochastic equations are presented for the water depths and flow rates in the estuarine system. Moment equations are developed for the mean and variance of the water depths. The moment equations are compared with the results of Monte Carlo simulation experiments. The results confirm that for any spatial location in the estuary that (1) as the uncertainty in the channel roughness increases, the uncertainty in mean depth increases, and (2) the predicted mean depth will decrease with increasing uncertainty in Manning'sn. The quasi-analytical approach requires significantly less computer time than Monte Carlo simulations and provides explicit
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01544073
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  • 5
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    On the use of Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis in the simulation of random fields (1991)
    Springer
    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 125-134 
    Details
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis ; random fields ; simulation ; non-homogeneous fields
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract In several fields of Geophysics, such as Hydrology, Meteorology or Oceanography, it is often useful to generate random fields, displaying the same variabilitity as the observed variables. Usually, these synthetic data are used as forcing fields into numerical models, to test the sensitivity of their outputs to the variability of the inputs. Examples can be found in subsurface or surface Hydrology and in Meteorology with General Circulation Models (GCM). Different techniques have already been proposed, often based on the spectral representation of the random process, with, usually, assumptions of stationarity. This paper suggests that Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis, which leads to the decomposition of the covariance kernel on the set of its eigen-functions, is a possible answer to this problem. The convergence and accuracy of the method are shown to depend mainly on the number of EOFs retained in the expansion of the covariance kemel. This result is confirmed by a comparison with the turning band method and a matrix technique. Furthermore, a synthetic example of non-homogencous fields shows the interest of EOF analysis in the direct simulation of such fields.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01543054
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  • 6
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Future groundwater conditions under long-term water stresses in an arid urban area (1994)
    Springer
    Water resources management 8 (1994), S. 245-264 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: groundwater ; hydrogeochemical investigation ; simulation ; urban area ; arid climate groundwater management ; conservation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract The urban area of Greater Dhahran has an extremely arid climate where the average annual rainfail is less than 71 mm. The Umm Er Radhuma (UER) aquifer in that area is the main source of domestic and landscape irrigation demands. Groudwater use has increased drastically during the last 15 years due to extensive developments in the area. Numerical simulation techiques and hydrogeochemical investigations were carried out to assess the effects of increasing pumping rates on the piezometric surface in the UER aquifer and to predict the future levels and quality of water under different pumping scenarios. A groundwater flow model was developed and calibrated for the area. The increase in the water extraction rate between 1967 and 1990 has resulted in a decline in the piezometric surface by about 4 m in the Dhahran area. The results of simulation investigations indicated that if the present trend of the groundwater withdrawal rate continues, the water level is expected to drop by an additional 2 and by the end of the year 2000, by an additional 6 m by the end of 2010. If the present increasing rate in groundwater withdrawal is reduced by 50%, the additional drawdown will also be reduced to about 1 and 2.5 m by the end of years 2000 and 2010, respectively. The average total dissolved solids (TDS) has increased from 2750 to 3545 mg/l between 1967 and 1990 and will continue to rise to 3922 and 4361 by the end of years 2000 and 2010, respectively. These original findings are important because they postulates the negative impacts of increasing groundwater pumping from an aquifer in an arid urban area on future groundwater levels and quality. Therefore, effective groundwater management and conservation schemes should be adopted to maintain the long-term productivity and quality of aquifers in the area.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00872400
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  • 7
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Design of earthen vegetated open channels (1992)
    Springer
    Water resources management 6 (1992), S. 149-159 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: Manning's equation ; vegetated open channels ; submerged aquatic weeds ; simulation ; Egyptian canals
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract Modified formulas for Manning's equation are developed for use in the design of earthen open channels with submerged aquatic weeds. The proposed relations have their basis in field and experimental data. A multiple regression analysis was used to develop a relationship between the mean velocity, hydraulic radius, and water surface slope. The new formulas are dependent on the distribution of weeds along the channel's wetted perimeter and the percentage of vegetation density with respect to the cross-section area of the waterway.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00872209
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  • 8
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Development and testing of soil water regime simulation models (1987)
    Springer
    Water resources management 1 (1987), S. 293-303 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: Soil water regime ; modelling ; simulation ; evapotranspiration ; drainage ; soil water resources ; irrigation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract Four soil water balance simulation models corresponding to specific soil-crop relations were developed for application to irrigation planning and management. The forms of the models were inferred from 18 months of weekly and bi-weekly soil water data and daily meteorological data. Soil water change is computed by budgeting of the water inputs and outputs, namely precipitation, evapotranspiration, drainage, and runoff. Actual evapotranspiration was found to be dependent on both potential evapotranspiration and soil water content. Empirical drainage functions were developed, but semi-empirical ones inferred from theoretical knowledge of soil hydraulic properties performed at least as well. Runoff functions were required to explain only exceptional conditions of very heavy rainfall. A quantitative assessment of each model's prediction accuracy was performed. The uncertainty that can be expected for any predicted value with a cumulative probability of 0.95 is in all cases within an interval of 1% of the soil water content in average conditions.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00421881
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  • 9
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Multistage disaggregation processes in stochastic hydrology (1992)
    Springer
    Water resources management 6 (1992), S. 101-115 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: Staged disaggregation ; parameter estimation ; Mejia-Rousselle model ; moment preservation ; simulation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract The problem of moment preservation associated with the use of the Mejia and Rousselle model in a staged disaggregation scheme is addressed in this paper. General parameter estimation equations are derived. Different from the original parameter estimation equations, the equations proposed herein employ two corrected historical moments which are shown to be conditional on the stage and the annual input generation model. With parameters estimated from the proposed equations, the modeling can exactly preserve the historical moments of interest and maintain the linear relationship between the input and output of each disaggregation process.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00872206
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  • 10
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    A model for the generation of simultaneous daily discharges of two rivers at their point of confluence (1990)
    Springer
    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 255-276 
    Details
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Stochastic hydrologic process ; daily discharges ; correlated generation ; simulation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A geomorphological study at the confluence of the Danube and the Isar in Bavaria required long series of daily discharges in both rivers. A model that generates simultaneous correlated streamflows in both rivers was developed and tested. The model is a modified shot noise model, first developed by Treiber (1975) for a single river, that was adapted to two rivers. It generates correlated pulses of events that produce flow for each river, and these pulses are then convoluted with a river specific systems function. The model, after being calibrated for the two rivers on the basis of 85 years of records, yields artificial series of discharges, in which the statistical properties of the historical records are reproduced. The performance of the model was tested with 20 generated series each 100 years long.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01544081
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