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  • Articles  (26,960)
  • 2015-2019  (10,937)
  • 1995-1999  (5,391)
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  • Political Science  (26,960)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2015-08-16
    Description: We analyze the impact of the pro-Russian conflict on stock returns in Russia and the Ukraine during the period November 21, 2013 to September 29, 2014. We utilize four newly created indicators for the degree of (de-)escalation based on an Internet search for conflict-related news. We find that escalation of the conflict is bad news for investors in both stock markets. Russian returns decrease by as much as 21 basis points (bps) after a 1 percentage point (pp) increase in escalation and Ukrainian returns drop by even more (up to 30 bps). In total, (de-)escalation of the pro-Russian conflict in the Ukraine accounts for a variation of up to 14.6 (33.4) pp in the Russian (Ukrainian) stock market. We also find that news from international sources is more relevant for investors in the Russian stock market than is news from Russian sources.
    Print ISSN: 1612-4804
    Electronic ISSN: 1612-4812
    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Published by Springer
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2015-09-15
    Description: Research Articles Lan Duong, Journal of Southeast Asian Studies , Volume 46 Issue 03 , pp 444-462 Abstract
    Print ISSN: 0022-4634
    Electronic ISSN: 1474-0680
    Topics: Geosciences , Political Science
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2015-11-21
    Description: In the aftermath of the Great Recession 2008/2009 European youth unemployment rose sharply from below 4.2 m in 2007 to more than 5.6 m young people under 25 unemployed in the EU28 countries in 2013. The youth unemployment rate expanded from 15.5 in 2007 to 25.5 in 2013. Beyond the consequences for individuals youth unemployment as a mass phenomenon is potentially menacing the stability of democratic societies. Hence there are good reasons to fight youth unemployment by any means. The paper analyses the specific structure and causes of youth unemployment. Although youth unemployment is also influenced by individual factors like insufficient qualification, we show that country-specific factors - institutions, traditions and characteristic structures - are of high importance in explaining the huge disparities between European countries. Using panel data estimates with specific country and time fixed effects we show that especially the Mediterranean countries responded to the economic downturn in a specific way. However, the high correlation of changes in the youth and adult unemployment rates across countries points to the fact that not only structural factors but also business cycle effects are important for explaining the sharp increase in the youth unemployment rate in Europe. The rise in joblessness is in fact closely related to macroeconomic slackness. Therefore, we argue that a two-handed approach combining institutional improvements with growth stimulating measures is needed to overcome the problem.
    Print ISSN: 1612-4804
    Electronic ISSN: 1612-4812
    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Published by Springer
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2015-11-23
    Description: The frequent occurrence of crises in recent decades has triggered a debate between the proponents of Efficient market hypothesis and Fractal market hypothesis. While, the proponents of Efficient market hypothesis view crises as non-existent and highly improbable, the advocates of Fractal market hypothesis view crises as the dominance of certain investment horizons. We test whether the assertion of Fractal Market hypothesis regarding the dominance of certain frequencies during financial crises hold for the global stock markets. Following Kristoufek (Sci Rep 3:2857, 2013) the wavelet power spectra based on continuous wavelet framework are used to test the said hypothesis. It is shown that stock markets around the globe indicate the dominance of higher frequencies during the crises periods, hence, validate the assertions of Fractal market hypothesis. The results drawn are robust to the use of different countries as well as different crises.
    Print ISSN: 1612-4804
    Electronic ISSN: 1612-4812
    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Published by Springer
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2015-05-31
    Description: The paper assesses the contribution of key drivers of external imbalances in the Eurozone through the estimation of a panel-data Vector Autoregressive model over 1975–2011. Growth fluctuations, initially associated with demand booms triggered by unusually low interest rates, and later with demand contractions resulting from the crisis and policy adjustments, have played an important role in current account balance fluctuations. Changes in real exchange rates or unit labor costs have played a less important role. Demand shocks have contributed more to current account balance dynamics in the Eurozone periphery than in the core, whereas competitiveness has been a less prominent factor in the periphery but relatively more important in the core. Some broad policy implications of the findings for demand management in a currency union are discussed, including for fiscal policy coordination and macroprudential policies when union members face asymmetric shocks. The role of internal devaluation policies as a means of correcting external imbalances is also reassessed.
    Print ISSN: 1612-4804
    Electronic ISSN: 1612-4812
    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Published by Springer
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2015-05-24
    Description: The innovative approach presented introduces a modified neoclassical growth model which includes a new bias of technological progress in a quasi-endogenous growth model in which part of labor is used in the research & development sector. The combination of a macroeconomic production function and a new progress function, plus the assumption that the output elasticity of capital is positively influenced by the size of the R&D sector, sheds new light on innovation and growth as well as income inequality: Thus there is a new approach for explaining Piketty’s historical findings of a medium term rise of the capital income share in industrialized countries – both in the earlier and later part of the 19th century and in 1990–2010. A rising share of capital income can be explained within this approach by the increase in the output elasticity of capital, which has been developed in a new way, namely in the context of R&D. In the approach presented herein, the golden rule issues are also highlighted and it is shown that choosing the right size of the R&D sector will bring about maximum sustainable per capita consumption. While the basic new model is presented for the case of a closed economy, one could easily accommodate both trade and foreign direct investment and thereby get a better understanding of complex international investment, trade and FDI dynamics – including with respect to the envisaged Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership.
    Print ISSN: 1612-4804
    Electronic ISSN: 1612-4812
    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Published by Springer
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2015-05-27
    Description: Research Articles John Ingleson, Journal of Southeast Asian Studies , Volume 46 Issue 02 , pp 205-226 Abstract
    Print ISSN: 0022-4634
    Electronic ISSN: 1474-0680
    Topics: Geosciences , Political Science
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2016-07-17
    Description: This paper re-examines the relationship between exports and economic growth in OECD countries. We apply the multi-horizon causality method developed by Dufour et al. (J Econ 132(2):337–362, 2006 ) for the first time, taking into account the possibility of infrequent structural trend breaks. Econometric techniques that avoid the circular problem when testing for segmented trends and unit roots have been employed along with a hybrid estimator of break location. The empirical evidence indicates that there is a unidirectional causal relationship from exports to economic growth for Finland, Germany, and the United States in the short run horizon, and directly in the cases of Austria and Ireland. We verify a direct causal relation from economic growth to real exports in France, Luxembourg and Portugal in various continuous horizons. Bidirectional causal relations between exports and economic growth were detected in Greece and Norway.
    Print ISSN: 1612-4804
    Electronic ISSN: 1612-4812
    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Published by Springer
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2016-07-28
    Description: Journal Name: Business and Politics Issue: Ahead of print
    Print ISSN: 1369-5258
    Electronic ISSN: 1469-3569
    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Published by De Gruyter
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2016-08-05
    Description: Journal Name: Business and Politics Volume: 18 Issue: 2 Pages: 97-122
    Print ISSN: 1369-5258
    Electronic ISSN: 1469-3569
    Topics: Political Science , Economics
    Published by De Gruyter
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