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  • LUNAR AND PLANETARY EXPLORATION
  • 2020-2024  (37)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2023-09-13
    Description: Archaeological structures built across active faults and ruptured by earthquakes have been used as markers to measure the amount of displacement caused by ground motion and thus to estimate the magnitude of ancient earthquakes. The example used in this study is the Crusader fortress at Tel Ateret (Vadum Iacob) in the Jordan Gorge, north of the Sea of Galilee, a site which has been ruptured repeatedly since the Iron Age. We use detailed laser scans and discrete element models of the fortification walls to deduce the slip velocity during the earthquake. Further, we test whether the in-situ observed deformation pattern of the walls allows quantification of the amount both sides of the fault moved and whether post-seismic creep contributed to total displacement. The dynamic simulation of the reaction of the fortification wall to a variety of earthquake scenarios supports the hypothesis that the wall was ruptured by two earthquakes in 1202 and 1759 CE. For the first time, we can estimate the slip velocity during the earthquakes to 3 and 1 m/s for the two events, attribute the main motion to the Arabian plate with a mostly locked Sinai plate, and exclude significant creep contribution to the observed displacements of 1.25 and 0.5 m, respectively. Considering a minimum long-term slip rate at the site of 2.6 mm/year, there is a deficit of at least 1.6 m slip corresponding to a potential future magnitude 7.5 earthquake; if we assume ~5 mm/year geodetic rate, the deficit is even larger.
    Description: Universität zu Köln (1017)
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; Archaeoseismology ; Back calculation of ground motion ; Fault slip-velocity ; Tell Ateret ; Dead sea Fault
    Language: English
    Type: doc-type:article
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2023-09-13
    Description: At the Blanco transform fault system (BTFS) off Oregon, 138 local earthquakes and 84 double‐couple focal mechanisms from ocean‐bottom‐seismometer recordings jointly discussed with bathymetric features reveal a highly segmented transform system without any prominent fracture zone traces longer than 100 km. In the west, seismicity is focused at deep troughs (i.e., the West and East Blanco, and Surveyor Depressions). In the east, the BTFS lacks a characteristic transform valley and instead developed the Blanco Ridge, which is the most seismically active feature, showing strike‐slip and dip‐slip faulting. Sandwiched between the two main segments of the BTFS is the Cascadia Depression, representing a short intra‐transform spreading segment. Seismic slip vectors reveal that stresses at the eastern BTFS are roughly in line with plate motion. In contrast, stresses to the west are clockwise skewed, indicating ongoing reorganization of the OTF system. As we observed no prominent fracture zones at the BTFS, plate tectonic reconstructions suggest that the BTFS developed from non‐transform offsets rather than pre‐existing transform faults during a series of ridge propagation events. Our observations suggest that the BTFS can be divided into two oceanic transform systems. The eastern BTFS is suggested to be a mature transform plate boundary since ∼0.6 Ma. In contrast, the western BTFS is an immature transform system, which is still evolving to accommodate far‐field stress change. The BTFS acts as a natural laboratory to yield processes governing the development of oceanic transform faults.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: The Blanco transform fault system (BTFS) northwest off the coast of Oregon is seismically very active. We used 1 year of ocean bottom seismometer data collected between September 2012 and October 2013 to locate 138 local earthquakes. The events align perfectly with the morphologic features of the BTFS, dividing the BTFS into five transform segments and two short intra‐transform spreading centers. Furthermore, we observe different seismotectonic behaviors of the western and eastern BTFS based on the along‐strike variation in morphology, magnetization, focal depth distribution, and strain partitioning. Although many segmented oceanic transform systems were formed from a single transform fault in response to rotations in plate motion, the BTFS turns out to be originated from non‐transform offsets between ridge segments, as we observed no prominent fracture zone traces neither in morphology nor gravity field data. A clockwise shift in the Juan de Fuca/Pacific pole of rotation at ∼5 Ma followed by a series of ridge propagation events initiated the formation of the BTFS, integrated each segment of the BTFS by shortening the ridge segments in between. Our observations suggest that the Blanco Ridge and the Gorda transform segment in the eastern BTFS were formed at ∼1.6 and 0.6 Ma, respectively, and ever since, the eastern BTFS became a mature transform boundary. In contrast, seismic slip vectors comparing to plate motion directions reveal that stresses in the western BTFS are systematically skewed, suggesting the immature transform plate boundary is still adjusting to the new stress regime.
    Description: Key Points: Local seismicity of the Blanco transform fault system (BTFS) reveals along‐strike variations dominated by strike‐slip and oblique dip‐slip. The BTFS developed from non‐transform offsets rather than discrete transform faults in response to plate rotation and ridge propagation. The BTFS consists of a mature plate boundary in the east and an immature system in the west, separated by a central spreading center.
    Description: China Scholarship Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100004543
    Description: https://doi.org/10.7914/SN/X9_2012
    Description: https://www.gmrt.org/GMRTMapTool/
    Description: https://mrdata.usgs.gov/magnetic/
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; Blanco transform fault system ; local seismicity ; tectonic evolution ; transform plate boundary
    Language: English
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2023-12-05
    Description: Even though micropolar theories are widely applied for engineering applications such as the design of metamaterials, applications in the study of the Earth’s interior still remain limited and in particular in seismology. This is due to the lack of understanding of the required elastic material parameters present in the theory as well as the eigenfrequency ωr which is not observed in seismic data. By showing that the general dynamic equations of the Timoshenko’s beam is a particular case of the micropolar theory we are able to connect micropolar elastic parameters to physically measurable quantities. We then present an alternative micropolar model that, based on the same physical basis as the original model, circumvents the problem of the original eigenfrequency ωr laking in seismological data. We finally validate our model with a seismic experiment and show it is relevant to explain observed seismic dispersion curves.
    Description: Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster (1056)
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; Timoshenko beam theory ; plate theory ; Cosserat theory ; micropolar theory ; seismology
    Language: English
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2023-11-27
    Description: On 12 August 2021, a 〉220 s lasting complex earthquake with M〈sub〉w〈/sub〉 〉 8.2 hit the South Sandwich Trench. Due to its remote location and short interevent times, reported earthquake parameters varied significantly between different international agencies. We studied the complex rupture by combining different seismic source characterization techniques sensitive to different frequency ranges based on teleseismic broadband recordings from 0.001 to 2 Hz, including point and finite fault inversions and the back‐projection of high‐frequency signals. We also determined moment tensor solutions for 88 aftershocks. The rupture initiated simultaneously with a rupture equivalent to a M〈sub〉w〈/sub〉 7.6 thrust earthquake in the deep part of the seismogenic zone in the central subduction interface and a shallow megathrust rupture, which propagated unilaterally to the south with a very slow rupture velocity of 1.2 km/s and varying strike following the curvature of the trench. The slow rupture covered nearly two‐thirds of the entire subduction zone length, and with M〈sub〉w〈/sub〉 8.2 released the bulk of the total moment of the whole earthquake. Tsunami modeling indicates the inferred shallow rupture can explain the tsunami records. The southern segment of the shallow rupture overlaps with another activation of the deeper part of the megathrust equivalent to M〈sub〉w〈/sub〉 7.6. The aftershock distribution confirms the extent and curvature of the rupture. Some mechanisms are consistent with the mainshocks, but many indicate also activation of secondary faults. Rupture velocities and radiated frequencies varied strongly between different stages of the rupture, which might explain the variability of published source parameters.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: The earthquake of 12 August 2021 along the deep‐sea trench of the South Sandwich Islands in the South Atlantic reached a magnitude of 8.2 and triggered a tsunami. The automatic earthquake parameter determination of different agencies showed very different results shortly after the earthquake and partially underestimated the tsunami potential of the earthquake. A possible reason was the complex rupture process and that the tsunami was generated by a long and shallow slow slip rupture sandwiched between more conventional fast slip subevents at its northern and southern ends. In addition, the fault surface, which extended over 450 km, was highly curved striking 150°–220°. We investigated the different components of the seismic wavefields in different frequency ranges and with different methods. The analysis shows how even complex earthquakes can be deciphered by combining analyzing methods. The comparison with aftershocks and the triggered tsunami waves confirms our model that explains the South Sandwich rupture by four subevents in the plate boundary along the curved deep‐sea trench. Here, the depth, rupture velocities, and slip on each segment of the rupture vary considerably. The method can also be applied to other megathrust earthquakes and help to further improve tsunami warnings in the future.
    Description: Key Points: A combination of multiple approaches, inversion setups, and frequency ranges deciphered the complex earthquake of 2021 South Sandwich. The rupture consisted of four subevents with the largest occurring as a shallow slow rupture parallel to the South Sandwich Trench. Forward modeling proves that the large, shallow thrust subevent caused the recorded tsunami.
    Description: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Description: Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100020884
    Description: https://ds.iris.edu/wilbert3/find_event
    Description: https://www.usgs.gov/natural-hazards/earthquake-hazards/lists-maps-and-statistics
    Description: http://www.ioc-sealevelmonitoring.org/
    Description: https://doi.org/10.7289/V5C8276M
    Description: https://www.gfz-potsdam.de/en/software/tsunami-wave-propagations-easywave
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; 2021 South Sandwich Earthquake ; seismic characteristics ; tsunamigenic characteristics
    Language: English
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2023-12-12
    Description: Strain energy from tectonic loading can be partly released through aseismic creep. Earthquake repeaters, repeatedly activated brittle fault patches surrounded by creep, indicate steady‐state creep that affects the amount of seismic energy available for the next large earthquake along a plate contact. The offshore Main Marmara Fault (MMF) of the North Anatolian Fault Zone represents a seismic gap capable of generating a M 〉 7 earthquake in direct vicinity to the mega‐city Istanbul. Based on a newly compiled seismicity catalog, we identify repeating earthquakes to resolve the spatial creep variability along the MMF during a 15‐year period. We observe a maximum of seismic repeaters indicating creep along the central and western MMF segments tapering off toward the locked onshore Ganos fault in the west, and the locked offshore Princes Islands segment immediately south of Istanbul in the east. This indicates a high degree of spatial creep variability along the Istanbul‐Marmara seismic gap.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: The relative motion of tectonic plates deforms these plates along their contact zone until the plate contact ruptures in an earthquake. However, some of this deformation can be released without earthquakes by so‐called aseismic creep in which the plates creep past each other. Within this creep zone, sometimes some brittle patches exist that interlock during the plate creep and rupture repeatedly in smaller earthquakes that are very similar. They are called earthquake repeaters. In the Sea of Marmara south of Istanbul lies the contact between the Eurasian and the Anatolian plates, the so‐called Main Marmara Fault (MMF). This plate contact did not rupture for a long time and thus a large magnitude event is expected here. We observe a large number of earthquake repeaters in the western offshore part of the MMF while no earthquake repeaters are found toward the east south of Istanbul or onshore toward the west. These areas seem to be locked and might accumulate deformation for a future large earthquake. The zones in between show an intermediate behavior with fewer earthquake repeaters indicating less creep. These results are important for the seismic risk and hazard assessment for the mega‐city of Istanbul.
    Description: Key Points: Earthquake repeaters along the Main Marmara Fault are identified based on a newly derived homogeneous earthquake catalog spanning 15 years. Seismic creep estimated from these repeaters is highly variable along‐strike with higher creep values along the western part. A repeating earthquake sequence showing accelerated activity after a nearby Mw 5.2 earthquake is observed.
    Description: Helmholtz Association http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100009318
    Description: https://doi.org/10.5880/GFZ.4.2.2023.002
    Description: http://doi.org/10.7914/SN/TU
    Description: http://doi.org/10.7914/SN/KO
    Description: http://doi.org/10.7914/SN/PZ
    Description: http://doi.org/10.7914/SN/TB
    Description: http://alomax.free.fr/nlloc/
    Description: https://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/%7Efelixw/hypoDD.html
    Description: http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3407866
    Description: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gc008515
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; repeating earthquakes ; Marmara Sea ; fault creep ; seismic cyle ; seismic gap
    Language: English
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2023-01-21
    Description: Seismicity models are probabilistic forecasts of earthquake rates to support seismic hazard assessment. Physics‐based models allow extrapolating previously unsampled parameter ranges and enable conclusions on underlying tectonic or human‐induced processes. The Coulomb Failure (CF) and the rate‐and‐state (RS) models are two widely used physics‐based seismicity models both assuming pre‐existing populations of faults responding to Coulomb stress changes. The CF model depends on the absolute Coulomb stress and assumes instantaneous triggering if stress exceeds a threshold, while the RS model only depends on stress changes. Both models can predict background earthquake rates and time‐dependent stress effects, but the RS model with its three independent parameters can additionally explain delayed aftershock triggering. This study introduces a modified CF model where the instantaneous triggering is replaced by a mean time‐to‐failure depending on the absolute stress value. For the specific choice of an exponential dependence on stress and a stationary initial seismicity rate, we show that the model leads to identical results as the RS model and reproduces the Omori‐Utsu relation for aftershock decays as well stress‐shadowing effects. Thus, both CF and RS models can be seen as special cases of the new model. However, the new stress response model can also account for subcritical initial stress conditions and alternative functions of the mean time‐to‐failure depending on the problem and fracture mode.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: One of the most pressing questions in earthquake physics is understanding where and when earthquakes occur and how seismicity is related to stress changes in the Earth's crust. This question is even more important today because humans are increasingly influencing stresses in the Earth by exploiting the subsurface. So far, two classes of physics‐based seismicity models have been used primarily. One assumes instantaneous earthquake occurrence when stress exceeds a threshold, and the other is based on the nucleation of earthquakes according to friction laws determined in the laboratory. Both models are very different in their approaches, have advantages and disadvantages, and are limited in their applicability. In this paper, we introduce a new concept of seismicity models, which is very simple and short to derive and combines the strengths of both previous models, as shown in various applications to human‐related seismicity. The forecasts of both traditional models turn out to be special cases of the new model.
    Description: Key Points: We introduce a modified Coulomb Failure seismicity model in which a mean time‐to‐failure replaces instantaneous triggering. The model explains the main features of time‐dependent seismicity, including aftershock activity and stress shadow effects. As a special case, it includes the rate‐state model solutions but can also handle subcritical stresses and other fracture types.
    Description: European Unions 2020 research and innovation programme
    Description: https://github.com/torstendahm/tdsr
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; seismicity ; physics based model ; earthquake physics
    Language: English
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2023-01-21
    Description: An earthquake‐induced stress drop on a megathrust instigates different responses on the upper plate and slab. We mimic homogenous and heterogeneous megathrust interfaces at the laboratory scale to monitor the strain relaxation on two elastically bi‐material plates by establishing analog velocity weakening and neutral materials. A sequential elastic rebound follows the coseismic shear‐stress drop in our elastoplastic‐frictional models: a fast rebound of the upper plate and the delayed and smaller rebound on the elastic belt (model slab). A combination of the rebound of the slab and the rapid relaxation (i.e., elastic restoration) of the upper plate after an elastic overshooting may accelerate the relocking of the megathrust. This acceleration triggers/antedates the failure of a nearby asperity and enhances the early slip reversal in the rupture area. Hence, the trench‐normal landward displacement in the upper plate may reach a significant amount of the entire interseismic slip reversal and speeds up the stress build‐up on the upper plate backthrust that emerges self‐consistently at the downdip end of the seismogenic zones. Moreover, the backthrust switches its kinematic mode from a normal to reverse mechanism during the coseismic and postseismic stages, reflecting the sense of shear on the interface.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: Subduction zones, where one tectonic plate slides underneath the other, host the largest earthquakes on earth. Two plates with different physical properties define the upper and lower plates in the subduction zones. A frictional interaction at the interface between these plates prevents them from sliding and builds up elastic strain energy until the stress exceeds their strength and releases accumulated energy as an earthquake. The source of the earthquake is located offshore; hence illuminating the plates' reactions to the earthquakes is not as straightforward as the earthquakes that occur inland. Here we mimic the subduction zone at the scale of an analog model in the laboratory to generate analog earthquakes and carefully monitor our simplified model by employing a high‐resolution monitoring technique. We evaluate the models to examine the feedback relationship between upper and lower plates during and shortly after the earthquakes. We demonstrate that the plates respond differently and sequentially to the elastic strain release: a seaward‐landward motion of the upper plate and an acceleration in the lower plate sliding underneath the upper plate. Our results suggest that these responses may trigger another earthquake in the nearby region and speed up the stress build‐up on other faults.
    Description: Key Points: Seismotectonic scale models provide high‐resolution observations to study the surface deformation signals from shallow megathrust earthquakes. Surface displacement time‐series suggest a sequential elastic rebound of the upper plate and slab during great subduction megathrust earthquakes. Slip reversal may be caused by rapid restoration of the upper plate after overshooting and amplified upper plate motion.
    Description: SUBITOP Marie Sklodowska‐Curie Action project from the European Union's EU Framework Programme
    Description: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
    Description: https://doi.org/10.5880/fidgeo.2022.024
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; analog modeling ; megathrust earthquake ; seismic cycle ; elastic rebound ; upper plate ; overshooting
    Language: English
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2023-07-20
    Description: Monitoring small magnitude induced seismicity requires a dense network of seismic stations and high-quality recordings in order to precisely determine events’ hypocentral parameters and mechanisms. However, microseismicity (e.g. swarm activity) can also occur in an area where a dense network is unavailable and recordings are limited to a few seismic stations at the surface. In this case, using advanced event detection techniques such as template matching can help to detect small magnitude shallow seismic events and give insights about the ongoing process at the subsurface giving rise to microseismicity. In this paper, we study shallow microseismic events caused by hydrofracking of the PNR-2 well near Blackpool, UK, in 2019 using recordings of a seismic network which was not designed to detect and locate such small events. By utilizing a sparse network of surface stations, small seismic events are detected using template matching technique. In addition, we apply a full-waveform moment tensor inversion to study the focal mechanisms of larger events (ML 〉 1) and used the double-difference location technique for events with high-quality and similar waveforms to obtain accurate relative locations. During the stimulation period, temporal changes in event detection rate were in agreement with injection times. Focal mechanisms of the events with high-quality recordings at multiple stations indicate a strike-slip mechanism, while a cross-section of 34 relocated events matches the dip angle of the active fault.
    Description: Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT) (4220)
    Description: https://earthquakes.bgs.ac.uk/data/broadband_stationbook.html
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; Event detection ; Microseismicity ; Source modeling ; Template matching
    Language: English
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2023-07-20
    Description: Natural earthquakes often have very few observable foreshocks which significantly complicates tracking potential preparatory processes. To better characterize expected preparatory processes before failures, we study stick-slip events in a series of triaxial compression tests on faulted Westerly granite samples. We focus on the influence of fault roughness on the duration and magnitude of recordable precursors before large stick–slip failure. Rupture preparation in the experiments is detectable over long time scales and involves acoustic emission (AE) and aseismic deformation events. Preparatory fault slip is found to be accelerating during the entire pre-failure loading period, and is accompanied by increasing AE rates punctuated by distinct activity spikes associated with large slip events. Damage evolution across the fault zones and surrounding wall rocks is manifested by precursory decrease of seismic b-values and spatial correlation dimensions. Peaks in spatial event correlation suggest that large slip initiation occurs by failure of multiple asperities. Shear strain estimated from AE data represents only a small fraction (〈 1%) of total shear strain accumulated during the preparation phase, implying that most precursory deformation is aseismic. The relative contribution of aseismic deformation is amplified by larger fault roughness. Similarly, seismic coupling is larger for smooth saw-cut faults compared to rough faults. The laboratory observations point towards a long-lasting and continuous preparation process leading to failure and large seismic events. The strain partitioning between aseismic and observable seismic signatures depends on fault structure and instrument resolution.
    Description: Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam - Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100010956
    Description: Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum - GFZ (4217)
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; Earthquakes ; rupture ; stick–slip tests ; seismic ; aseismic
    Language: English
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2023-07-21
    Description: In the past, several destructive earthquakes have occurred in the North African Atlas Mountain ranges located along the Africa–Eurasia plate boundary. Although the region is rich with impressive archaeological sites, including those in modern Tunisia, few comprehensive archaeoseismological studies have been conducted. Historic sources account at least three damaging earthquakes in the Kairouan area in central Tunisia between AD 859 and 1041. Little is known about which faults triggered these earthquakes or the size of these events. The water supply of the city of Kairouan depended on a 32-km-long aqueduct with a large bridge (now partially collapsed) at the confluence of the de Mouta and Cherichira rivers. The original bridge of Roman construction was retrofitted twice during the Aghlabid period (AD 800–903) and probably in AD 995 during the Fatimid period. The ruined section of the bridge shows damage which might be related to the AD 859 earthquake shaking. Here, we present a detailed study of the history, the status and the damage of the Cherichira aqueduct bridge using previous historic accounts and written works, a 3D laser scan model, local geological and seismological characteristics, and include results of radiocarbon dating and a timeline of events. In addition to earthquake ground motions, we consider severe flash floods on the bridge as a potential cause of the damage. We estimate the severity of such flash floods and develop a model with 18 earthquake scenarios on local reverse and strike-slip faults with magnitudes between MW 6.1 and 7.2. While a few damage patterns might be indicative of flooding, most damage can be attributed to earthquakes. It is highly probable that the earthquake in AD 859 caused enough damage to the Aghlabid bridge to render it dysfunctional; however, to resolve the question of whether another earthquake in AD 911 or 1041 caused the complete destruction of the previously retrofitted aqueduct by the Fatimids requires dating of additional sections of the bridge.
    Description: Universität zu Köln (1017)
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; Archaeoseismology ; Cherichira aqueduct ; Kairouan ; Historic earthquake ; Flash flood ; Laser scan ; Dating ; Synthetic seismogram
    Language: English
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