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  • 1
    Call number: ZSP-168-599
    In: Berichte zur Polar- und Meeresforschung
    Description / Table of Contents: Der Fahrtabschnitt MSM 12/2 vom 17.6. bis 13.7.2009 mit FS Maria S. Merian bestand aus reflexionsseismischen und geologischen Untersuchungen der Eirik Drift, einer Sedimentstruktur südlich Grönlands. Die Eirik Drift dokumentiert seit dem Miozän die Sedimentation vor Südwest-Grönland und bildet so ein Archiv für die Ablagerungsprozesse in diesem Gebiet, die durch den Western Boundary Undercurrent (WBUC), die grönländische Eisbedeckung und den Eintrag aus der Labrador See/Davis Strait geprägt wurden. Eine detaillierte Erfassung und Analyse der Struktur und Zusammensetzung der Eirik Drift mittels seismischer und geologischer Methoden und ein Anschluß an bestehende ODP und IODP Bohrungen (ODP Leg 105 und IODP Expedition 303) wurde benötigt, um Informationen über die Entwicklung des WBUC und Dimension und Ausdehnung/Rückzug des grönländischen Eises zu erhalten. Das reflexionsseismische Programm während der Expedition MSM 12/2 wurde derart gestaltet, dass die Struktur der Eirik Drift bis zum Basement sowie laterale Relokationen der Hauptablagerungsgebiete erfasst wurden. Es wurden insgesamt ~2000 km an hochauflösenden reflexionsseismischen Daten registriert. Parallel zu den seismischen Profilarbeiten wurden bathymetrische und Parasound Messungen durchgeführt. Über die Parasound Registrierungen sind dann signifikante Lokationen für geologische Beprobungen ausgewählt worden, die die Verbindung mit den hochauflösenden seismischen Untersuchungen zu einer Kombination verschiedene Zeitskalen und somit eine entscheidenden schärfen Schärfung des Verständnisses für die Entwicklung des Klimas indieser Region ermöglichen. An 12 Lokationen wurden geologische Proben genommen. Ergänzt wurden die seismischen und geologischen Messungen durch 8 CTD Stationen undADCP Messungen im Gebiet der Eirik Drift.
    Type of Medium: 12
    Pages: Online-Ressource
    ISSN: 1866-3192
    Series Statement: Berichte zur Polar- und Meeresforschung 599
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  • 2
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Darmstadt : Primus
    Call number: M 10.0218 ; 12/2010.19 ; AWI A3-18-13656
    Description / Table of Contents: Sind die Unwetter und Katastrophen der letzten Jahre Ausdruck einer Klimaveränderung oder gab es sie schon immer? Diese 1000 Jahre umfassende Klimadarstellung, die auf den unterschiedlichsten Quellen basiert, ist einmalig für Mitteleuropa. Sie belegt die nachhaltigen Veränderungen des Klimas in den vergangenen Jahrhunderten, die Auswirkungen auf die Gesellschaft und macht deutlich, bis zu welchem Grad der Mensch in jüngerer Zeit Einfluss genommen hat.
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: VIII, 264 S. , Ill., Kt.
    Edition: 2., aktualisierte und erw. Aufl.
    ISBN: 9783896786043
    Classification:
    Meteorology and Climatology
    Language: German
    Note: Inhalt: Vorwort. - Vorwort zur 2.Auflage. - TEIL I GRUNDLAGEN DER HISTORISCHEN KLIMAFORSCHUNG. - Klima in Perspektive: Eine Einführung. - Begründung und Forschungsansätze. - Forschungssituation in Mitteleuropa. - Auf Spurensuche: Quellen, Daten und Zitate. - Chroniken und Annalen: Die ersten Spuren von Wetter, Witterung und Klima. - Quelleninformation - Quellenbezug - Quellenkompilation: Die Dhein-Chronik. - Als das Wetter zum täglichen Ereignis wurde: Wetterjournale. - Vom Wetter auf See: Schiffsjournale. - Vom Wetter unterwegs: Itinerare. - Wetter nach Maß: Die Anfänge der Instrumentenmessung. - Gemalt, gepinselt und gehämmert: Bildhafte und plastische Informationen zum historischen Klima. - Klima auf Umwegen: Proxydaten. - Methoden zur Klimarekonstruktion. - "Hat man mir wahrhafftiglich versicheret": Die quellenkritische Interpretation von schriftlichen Quellenhinweisen. - Klima-, Witterungs- und Wettervorstellungen: Ein Beitrag zur Quellenkritik. - Quelle - Index - Klimawert: Die Transformation schriftlicher Klimahinweise. - Tägliche Wetteraufzeichnungen: Rückblicke der besonderen Art. - Historische Instrumentenmessdaten: Ein Brückenschlag zur Moderne. - Proxydaten: Ihre klimatische Interpretation. - Methoden: Eine Nachbetrachtung. - HISKLID: Aufbau und Struktur der Historischen Klimadatenbank. - TEIL II HITZE, FLUTEN, EIS UND STURM IM SPIEGELBILD DER QUELLEN. - Vom Optimum der Römerzeit über das Pessimum der Völkerwanderung ins Mittelalterliche Wärmeoptimum. - Prolog zum Mittelalterlichen Wärmeoptimum. - Das Klima von 1000 bis 1500. - Warme Zeiten - kalte Zeiten: Die Sommerverhältnisse von 1000 und 1500. - Aus der Kältekammer ins Treibhausklima: Die Winterverhältnisse von 1000 bis 1500. - Im Märzen der Bauer? Die Frühlingsverhältnisse von 1000 bis 1500. - Altweibersommer oder Herbststürme? Die Herbstverhältnisse von 1000 bis 1500. - Das Klima von 1500 bis 2000. - Der jährliche Witterungsgang von 1500 bis 1750. - Zur Kleinen Eiszeit - ein Epilog. - Aus der Kleinen Eiszeit ins Treibhausklima: Die Verhältnisse ab 1750. - Die derzeitigen Folgen. - Der Klimagang der letzten 1000 Jahre - eine Zusammenschau. - Der methodische Weg. - Zum Klimaverlauf ab dem Jahr 1000. - Zur Frage der Steuerungsmechanismen. - Klimarekonstruktionen und -simulationen der letzten 1000 Jahre auf der Basis von naturwissenschaftlichen Daten. - Wenn sich Wetter und Klima zur Katastrophe auswachsen. - Unwetter über Mitteleuropa. - Gewitter in Mitteleuropa. - Stürme und Orkane über Deutschland. - Die Sturmfluten an der deutschen Nord- und Ostseeküste. - Hochwasserereignisse an deutschen Flüssen. - Historische Hochwasser und Atmosphärische Zirkulationsdynamik. - Jahrhundert- und Jahrtausendhochwasser. - Höhenrauch - Sommerhitze - Winterstrenge - Hochwasser: Vier Schritte in die Katastrophe. - Die Hochwasserkatastrophe von 1824 am Neckar und aktuelle planerische Konsequenzen. - Klimakatastrophen in Mitteleuropa: Eine Nachlese. - Die zukünftige Entwicklung des Klimas und die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels in Mitteleuropa. - Die ökonomischen Folgen. - Erkenntniswege zum Treibhausklima. - Die historische Entwicklung des politischen Handlungsrahmens. - 1200 Jahre Klimageschichte: Ein Resümee. - Anhang. - Abkürzungen. - Literaturverzeichnis. - Sachregister. - Ortsregister.
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  • 3
    Call number: AWI G3-10-0029
    Description / Table of Contents: The handbook provides coverage of terms and concepts which are related to the permafrost conditions and processes in Polar regions and mountain areas. It includes over 700 clear and concise definitions. Definitions are referenced to the first authors. Different points of view on each definition are given. For every Russian definition the English equivalent and the synonyms are given. The handbook is well illustrated by pictures, photos and schemes. At the end of the handbook subject's and author's indexes (both in English and in Russian) together with the reference are sited. This handbook intends to the wide circle of geological and geographical specialists and engineers, universities faculties and students of the related fields.
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 312 Seiten , Illustrationen , 25 cm
    Edition: Naučnoe izdanie
    ISBN: 9785891764019
    Language: Russian
    Note: In kyrillischer Schrift
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  • 4
    Call number: ZSP-403-317
    In: Jare Data Reports
    Type of Medium: Series available for loan
    Pages: 85 S. : Ill., graph. Darst.
    Series Statement: Jare Data Reports 317 : Seismology 44
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  • 5
    Call number: AWI G3-10-0041
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 223 Seiten , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 5020324698 , 978-5-02-032469-5
    Language: Russian
    Note: In kyrillischer Schrift
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  • 6
    Call number: MOP 8391 ; AWI E2-20-12701
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 62 Seiten , 11 Tafeln
    Language: German
    Note: Das Luftschiff als Forschungsmittel in der Arktis Einleitung und Vorgeschichte Witterung. Zeitpunkt der Fahrt Navigation Weg der Forschungsfahrt Die Konstruktion des Luftschiffes Wissenschaftliche Aufgaben Die internationale Studiengesellschaft zur Erforschung der Arktis mit dem Luftschiff Anlagen 1. Die meteorologischen Verhältnisse 2. Die Navigation in der Arktis 3. Die Funkanlagen für die Navigation und die Nachrichtenübermittlung 4. Über die Verwendung des Luftschiffes zu photogrammetrischen Vermessungen
    Location: MOP - must be ordered
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  • 7
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Berlin : Springer
    Call number: M 98.0363 ; AWI G8-96-0626
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: XV, 433 Seiten , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 3540593489
    Classification:
    Historical Geology
    Language: English
    Note: Contents I Review of Current Concepts 1 Introduction 1.1 Sequence Stratigraphy: A New Paradigm? 1.2 From Sloss to Vail 1.3 Problems and Research Trends: The Current Status 1.4 Stratigraphic Terminology 2 Methods for Studying Sequence Stratigraphy 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Erecting a Sequence Framework 2.2.1 The Importance of Unconformities 2.2.2 Facies Cycles 2.2.3 Stratigraphic Architecture: The Seismic Method 2.3 Methods for Assessing Regional and Global Changes in Sea Level, Other Than Seismic Stratigraphy 2.3.1 Areas and Volumes of Stratigraphic Units 2.3.2 Hypsometric Curves 2.3.3 Backstripping 2.3.4 Sea-Level Estimation from Paleoshorelines and Other Fixed Points 2.3.5 Documentation of Meter-Scale Cycles 2.4 Integrated Tectonic-Stratigraphic Analysis 3 The Four Basic Types of Stratigraphic Cycle 3.1 Introduction 3.2 The Supercontinent Cycle 3.3 Cycles with Episodicities of Tens of Millions of Years 3.4 Cycles with Million-Year Episodicities 3.5 Cycles with Episodicities of Less Than One Million Years 4 The Basic Sequence Model 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Terminology 4.3 Depositional Systems and Systems Tracts 4.4 Sequence Boundaries 4.5 Other Sequence Concepts 5 The Global Cycle Chart II The Stratigraphic Framework 6 Cycles with Episodicities of Tens to Hundreds of Millions of Years 6.1 Climate, Sedimentation, and Biogenesis 6.2 The Supercontinent Cycle 6.2.1 The Tectonic-Stratigraphic Model 6.2.2 The Phanerozoic Record 6.3 Cycles with Episodicities of Tens of Millions of Years 6.3.1 Intercontinental Correlations 6.3.2 Tectonostratigraphic Sequences 6.4 Main Conclusions 7 Cycles with Million-Year Episodicities 7.1 Extensional and Rifted Clastic Continental Margins 7.2 Foreland Basin of the North American Western Interior 7.3 Other Foreland Basins 7.4 Forearc Basins 7.5 Backarc Basins 7.6 Cyclothems and Mesothems 7;7 Carbonate Cycles of Platforms and Craton Margins 7.8 Evidence of Cyclicity in the Deep Oceans 7.9 Main Conclusions 8 Cycles with Episodicities of Less Than One Million Years 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Neogene Clastic Cycles of Continental Margins 8.3 Pre-Neogene Marine Carbonate and Clastic Cycles 8.4 Late Paleozoic Cyclothems 8.5 Lacustrine elastic and Chemical Rhythms 8.6 Clastic Cycles of Foreland Basins 8.7 Main Conclusions III Mechanisms 9 Long-Term Eustasy and Epeirogeny 9.1 Mantle Processes and Dynamic Topography 9.2 Supercontinent Cycles 9.3 Cycles with Episodicities of Tens of Millions of Years 9.3.1 Eustasy 9.3.2 Dynamic Topography and Epeirogeny 9.4 Main Conclusions 10 Milankovitch Processes 10.1 Introduction 10.2 The Nature of Milankovitch Processes 10.2.1 Components of Orbital Forcing 10.2.2 Basic Climatology 10.2.3 Variations with Time in Orbital Periodicities 10.2.4 Isostasy and Geoid Changes 10.2.5 The Nature of the Cyclostratigraphic Data Base 10.2.6 The Sensitivity of the Earth to Glaciation 10.2.7 Glacioeustasy in the Mesozoic? 10.2.8 Nonglacial Milankovitch Cyclicity 10.3 The Cenozoic Record 10.4 Late Paleozoic Cyclothems 10.5 The End-Ordovician Glaciation 10.6 Main Conclusions 11 Tectonic Mechanisms 11.1 Introduction 11.2 Rifting and Thermal Evolution of Divergent Plate Margins 11.2.1 Basic Geophysical Models and Their Implications for Sea-Level Change 11.2.2 Some Results from the Analysis of Modern Data Sets 11.3 Tectonism on Convergent Plate Margins and in Collision Zones 11.3.1 Magmatic Arcs and Subduction 11.3.2 Tectonism Versus Eustasy in Foreland Basins 11.3.2.1 The North American Western Interior Basin 11.3.2.2 The Appalachian Foreland Basin 11.3.2.3 Pyrenean and Himalayan Basins 11.3.3 Rates of Uplift and Subsidence 11.3.4 Discussion 11.4 Intraplate Stress 11.4.1 The Pattern of Global Stress 11.4.2 In-Plane Stress as a Control of Sequence Architecture 11.4.3 In-Plane Stress and Regional Histories of Sea-Level Change 11.5 Basement Control 11.6 Other Speculative Tectonic Hypotheses 11.7 Sediment Supply and the Importance of Big Rivers 11.8 Environmental Change 11.9 Main Conclusions IV Chronostratigraphy and Correlation: Why the Global Cycle Chart Should Be Abandoned 12 Time in Sequence Stratigraphy 12.1 Introduction 12.2 Hierarchies of Time and the Completeness of the Stratigraphic Record 12.3 Main Conclusions 13 Correlation, and the Potential for Error 13.1 Introduction 13.2 The New Paradigm of Geological Time? 13.3 The Dating and Correlation of Stratigraphic Events: Potential Sources of Uncertainty 13.3.1 Identification of Sequence Boundaries 13.3.2 Chronostratigraphic Meaning of Unconformities 13.3.3 Determination of the Biostratigraphic Framework 13.3.3.1 The Problem of Incomplete Biostratigraphic Recovery 13.3.3.2 Diachroneity of the Biostratigraphic Record 13.3.4 The Value of Quantitative Biostratigraphic Methods 13.3.5 Assessment of Relative Biostratigraphic Precision 13.3.6 Correlation of Biozones with the Global Stage Framework 13.3.7 Assignment of Absolute Ages 13.3.8 Implications for the Exxon Global Cycle Chart 13.4 Correlating Regional Sequence Frameworks with the Global Cycle Chart 13.4.1 Circular Reasoning from Regional Data 13.4.2 A Rigorous Test of the Global Cycle Chart 13.4.3 A Correlation Experiment 13.4.4 Discussion 13.5 Main Conclusions 14 Sea-Level Curves Compared 14.1 Introduction 14.2 The Exxon Curves: Revisions, Errors, and Uncertainties 14.3 Other Sea-Level Curves 14.3.1 Cretaceous Sea-Level Curves 14.3.2 Jurassic Sea-Level Curves 14.3.3 Why Does the Exxon Global Cycle Chart Contain So Many More Events Than Other Sea-Level Curves? 14.4 Main Conclusions V Approaches to a Modern Sequence-Stratigraphic Framework 15 Elaboration of the Basic Sequence Model 15.1 Introduction 15.2 Definitions 15.2.1 The Hierarchy of Units and Bounding Surfaces 15.2.2 Systems Tracts and Sequence Boundaries 15.3 The Sequence Stratigraphy of Clastic Depositional Systems 15.3.1 Pluvial Deposits and Their Relationship to Sea-Level Change 15.3.2 The Concept of the Bayline 15.3.3 Deltas, Beach-Barrier Systems, and Estuaries 15.3.4 Shelf Systems: Sand Shoals and Condensed Sections 15.3.5 Slope and Rise Systems 15.4 The Sequence Stratigraphy of Carbonate Depositional Systems 15.4.1 Platform Carbonates: Catch-Up Versus Keep-Up 15.4.2 Carbonate Slopes 15.4.3 Pelagic Carbonate Environments 15.5 Main Conclusions 16 Numerical and Graphical Modeling of Sequences 16.1 Introduction 16.2 Model Design 16.3 Selected Examples of Model Results 16.4 Main Conclusions VI Discussion and Conclusions 17 Implications for Petroleum Geology 17.1 Introduction 17.2 Integrated Tectonic-Stratigraphic Analysis 17.2.1 The Basis of the Methodology 17.2.2 The Development of an Allostratigraphic Framework 17.2.3 Choice of Sequence-Stratigraphic Models 17.2.4 The Search for Mechanisms 17.2.5 Reservoir Characterization 17.3 Controversies in Practical Sequence Analysis 17.3.1 The Case of the Tocito Sandstone, New Mexico 17.3.2 The Case of Gippsland Basin, Australia 17.3.3 Conclusions: A Modified Approach to Sequence Analysis for Practicing Petroleum Geologists and Geophysicists 17.4 Main Conclusions 18 Conclusions and Recommendations 18.1 Sequences in the Stratigraphic Record 18.1.1 Long-Term Stratigraphic Cycles 18.1.2 Cycles with Million-Year Episodicities 18.1.3 Cycles with Episodicities of Less Than One Million Years 18.2 Mechanisms 18.2.1 Long-Term Eustasy and Epeirogeny 18.2.2 Milankovitch Processes 18.2.3 Tectonic Mechanisms 18.3 Chronostratigraphy and Correlation 18.3.1 Concepts of Time 18.3.2 Correlation Problems, and the Basis of the Global Cycle Chart 18.3.3 Comparison of Sea-Level Curves 18.4 Modern Sequence Analysis 18.4.1 Elaboration of the Basic Sequence Model 18.4.2 Numerical and Graphical Modeling of Stratigraphic Sequences 18.5 Implications for Petroleum Geology 18.6 The Global-Eustasy Paradigm: Working Backwards from the Answer? 18.6.1 The Exxon Factor 18.6.2 Conclusions . 18.7 Recommendations References Author Index Subject Index
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  • 8
    facet.materialart.12
    facet.materialart.12
    Bremerhaven : Alfred-Wegener-Inst. für Polar- und Meeresforschung
    Associated volumes
    Call number: ZSP-168-607
    In: Berichte zur Polar- und Meeresforschung
    Type of Medium: 12
    Pages: Online-Ressource
    ISSN: 1866-3192
    Series Statement: Berichte zur Polar- und Meeresforschung 607
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  • 9
    facet.materialart.12
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    Bremerhaven : Alfred-Wegener-Inst. für Polar- und Meeresforschung
    Associated volumes
    Call number: ZSP-168-610
    In: Berichte zur Polar- und Meeresforschung
    Type of Medium: 12
    Pages: Online-Ressource
    ISSN: 1866-3192
    Series Statement: Berichte zur Polar- und Meeresforschung 610
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  • 10
    Call number: AWI P6-10-0062 ; AWI P6-11-0002
    Description / Table of Contents: This volume provides a comprehensive, up-to-date account of how the physical and biological environment of the Antarctic continent and Southern Ocean has changed from Deep Time until the present day. It also considers how the Antarctic environment may change over the next century in a world where greenhouse gas concentrations are much higher than occurred over the last few centuries. The Antarctic is a highly coupled system with non-linear interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, ice and biota, along with complex links to the rest of the Earth system. Inpreparing this volume our approach has been highly cross-disciplinary, with the goal of reflecting the importance of the continent in global issues, such as sea level rise, the separation of natural climate variability from anthropogenic influences, food stocks, biodiversity and carbon uptake by the ocean. One hundred experts in Antarctic science have contributed and drafts of the manuscript were reviewed by over 200 scientists. We hope that it will be of value to all scientists with an interest in the Antarctic continent and the Southern Ocean, policy makers and those concerned with the deployment of observing systems and the development of climate models.
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: XXVIII, 526 S. : Ill., graph. Darst., Kt.
    ISBN: 9780948277221
    Language: English
    Note: CONTENTS: PREFACE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 THE ANTARCTIC ENVIRONMENT AND THE GLOBAL SYSTEM 1.1 THE PHYSICAL SETTING 1.2 THE ANTARCTIC CRYOSPHERE 1.3 THE ROLE OF THE ANTARCTIC IN THE GLOBAL CLIMATE SYSTEM 1.4 OBSERVATIONS FOR STUDIES OF ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE IN THE ANTARCTIC 1.5 THE CLIMATE OF THE ANTARCTIC AND ITS VARIABILITY 1.6 BIOTA OF THE ANTARCTIC 1.6.1 Terrestrial 1.6.2 Marine 2 OBSERVATIONS, DATA ACCURACY AND TOOLS 2.1 OBSERVATIONS, DATA ACCURACY AND TOOLS 2.1.1 Introduction 2.1.2 Meteorological and ozone observing in the Antarctic 2.1.3 In-situ ocean observations 2.1.4 Sea ice observations 2.1.5 Observations of the ice sheet and permafrost 2.1.6 Sea level 2.1.7 Marine biology 2.1.8 Terrestrial biology 2.1.9 Models 2.2 FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS AND RESEARCH NEEDS 3 ANTARCTIC CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENT HISTORY IN THE PREINSTRUMENTAL PERIOD 3.1 INTRODUCTION 3.2 DEEP TIME 3.2.1 The Greenhouse world: from Gondwana breakup to 34 million years 3.2.2 Into the Icehouse world: the last 34 million years 3.3 THE LAST MILLION YEARS 3.3.1 Glacial interglacial cycles: the ice core record 3.3.2 The transition to Holocene interglacial conditions: the ice core record 3.3.3 Deglaciation of the continental shelf, coastal margin and continental interior 3.3.4 Antarctic deglaciation and its impact on global sea level 3.3.5 Sea ice and climate 3.4 THE HOLOCENE 3.4.1 Holocene climate change: regional to hemispheric perspectives 3.4.2 Changes in sea ice extent through the Holocene 3.4.3 Regional patterns of Holocene climate change in Antarctica 3.5 BIOLOGICAL RESPONSES TO CLIMATE CHANGE 3.5.1 The terrestrial environment 3.5.2 The marine environment 3.4.3 Regional patterns of Holocene climate change in Antarctica 3.6 CONCLUDING REMARKS 4 THE INSTRUMENTAL PERIOD 4.1 INTRODUCTION 4.2 CHANGES OF ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION 4.2.1 Modes of variability ..? 4.2.2 Depression tracks 4.2.3 Teleconnections 4.3 TEMPERATURE 4.3.1 Surface temperature 4.3.2 Upper air temperature changes 4.3.3 Attribution 4.4 CHANGES IN ANTARCTIC SNOWFALL OVER THE PAST 50 YEARS 4.4.1 General spatial and temporal characteristics of Antarctic snowfall 4.4.2 Long-term Antarctic snowfall accumulation estimates 4.4.3 Recent trends in Antarctic snowfall 4.5 ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY 4.5.1 Antarctic stratospheric ozone in the instrumental period 4.5.2 Antarctic tropospheric chemistry 4.5.3 Aerosol, clouds and radiation 4.6 THE SOUTHERN OCEAN 4.6.1 Introduction 4.6.2 Australian sector 4.6.3 The Amundsen/Bellingshausen Seas 4.6.4 Variability and change in Ross Sea shelf waters 4.6.5 The Weddell Sea sector 4.6.6 Small-scale processes in the Southern Ocean 4.6.7 Dynamics of the circulation and water masses of the ACC and the polar gyres from model results 4.7 . ANTARCTIC SEA ICE COVER DURING THE INSTRUMENTAL PERIOD 4.7.1 Introduction 4.7.2 Sea ice cover in the pre-satellite era 4.7.3 Variability and trends in sea ice using satellite data 4.8 THE ICE SHEET AND PERMAFROST 4.8.1 Introduction 4.8.2 The Antarctic Peninsula 4.8.3 West Antarctica 4.8.4 East Antarctica 4.8.5 Calving 4.8.6 Sub-glacial water movement 4.8.7 Other changes in the ice sheet 4.8.8 Attribution of changes to the ice sheet 4.8.9 Conclusions regarding the ice sheet 4.8.10 Changes in Antarctic permafrost and active layer over the last 50 years 4.9 LONG TERM SEA LEVEL CHANGE 4.10 MARINE BIOLOGY 4.10.1 The open ocean system 4.10.2 Sea ice ecosystems 4.10.3 ENSO links and teleconnections to vertebrate life histories and population 4.10.4 Invertebrate physiology 4.10.5 Seasonality effect on the high Antarctic benthic shelf communities? 4.10.6 Macroalgal physiology and ecology 4.10.7 Marine/terrestrial pollution 4.11 BIOGEOCHEMISTRY - SOUTHERN OCEAN CARBON CYCLE RESPONSE TO HISTORICAL CLIMATE CHANGE 4.11.1 Introduction 4.11.2 CO2 fluxes in the Southern Ocean 4.11.3 Historical change - observed response 4.11.4 Historical change - simulated view 4.11.5 Changes in CO2 inventories 4.11.6 Concluding remarks 4.12 TERRESTRIAL BIOLOGY 5 THE NEXT 100 YEARS 5.1 INTRODUCTION 5.2 CLIMATE CHANGE 5.2.1 IPCC scenarios 5.2.2 Climate models 5.2.3 Atmospheric circulation 5.2.4 Temperature change over the Twenty First Century 5.2.5 Precipitation change over the Twenty First Century 5.2.6 Antarctic stratospheric ozone over the next 100 years 5.3 OCEAN CIRCULATION AND WATER MASSES 5.3.1 Simulation of present-day conditions in the Southern Hemisphere 5.3.2 Projections for the Twenty First Century 5.3.3 Long-term evolution of the Southern Ocean 5.3.4 Conclusions 5.4 SEA ICE CHANGE OVER THE TWENTY FIRST CENTURY 5.5 THE TERRESTRIAL CRYOSPHERE 5.5.1 Introduction 5.5.2 East Antarctic ice sheet 5.5.3 West Antarctic ice sheet 5.5.4 Antarctic Peninsula 5.5.5 Conclusions 5.5.6 Summary and needs for future research 5.6 EVOLUTION OF ANTARCTIC PERMAFROST 5.7 PROJECTIONS OF SEA LEVEL IN ANTARCTIC AND SOUTHERN OCEAN WATERS BY 2100 5.7.1 Regional projections of mean sea-level rise 5.8 BIOGEOCHEMISTRY - RESPONSE OF THE SOUTHERN OCEAN CARBON CYCLE TO FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE 5.8.1 Background 5.8.2 Future Southern Ocean carbon response 5.8.3 Response to increased CO2 uptake 5.8.4 Concluding remarks 5.9 BIOLOGY 5.9.1 Terrestrial Biology 5.9.2 Marine Biology 5.9.3 The Antarctic marine ecosystem in the year 2100 6 RECOMMENDATIONS 7 REFERENCES.
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