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The status and prospect of seasonal climate prediction of climate over Korea and East Asia: A review

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Abstract

Over the last few decades, there have been startling advances in our understanding of climate system and in modelling techniques. However, the skill of seasonal climate prediction is still not enough to meet the various needs from industrial and public sectors. Therefore, there are tremendous on-going efforts to improve the skill of climate prediction in the seasonal to interannual time scales. Since seasonal to interannual climate variabilities in Korea and East Asia are influenced by many internal and external factors including East Asian monsoon, tropical ocean variability, and other atmospheric low-frequency variabilities, comprehensive understanding of these factors are essential for skillful seasonal climate prediction for Korea and East Asia. Also, there are newly suggested external factors providing additional prediction skill like soil moisture, snow, Arctic sea ice, and stratospheric variability, and techniques to realize skills from underlying potential predictability. In this review paper, we describe current status of seasonal climate prediction and future prospect for improving climate prediction over Korea and East Asia.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Chonnam National University, Gwangju, Korea

    Jee-Hoon Jeong

  2. Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea

    Hyunsoo Lee & Hyun-kyung Kim

  3. APEC Climate Center, Busan, Korea

    Jin Ho Yoo & Woo-Seop Lee

  4. Physical Oceanography Division, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Ansan, Korea

    MinHo Kwon

  5. Department of Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, Hanyang University, ERICA, Ansan, Korea

    Sang-Wook Yeh

  6. Division of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH), Pohang, Korea

    Jong-Seong Kug, Seung-Ki Min & Hansu Lee

  7. Research Center for Climate Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, Korea

    Jun-Yi Lee

  8. Korea Polar Research Institute, Inchon, Korea

    Baek-Min Kim

  9. School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea

    Seok-Woo Son

  10. School of Earth Sciences and Environmental Engineering, Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology, Gwangju, Korea

    Jin-Ho Yoon

  11. Faculty of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Chonnam National University, 77 Yongbongro, Buk-Gu, Gwangju, 61186, Korea

    Jee-Hoon Jeong

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Correspondence to Jee-Hoon Jeong.

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Jeong, JH., Lee, H., Yoo, J.H. et al. The status and prospect of seasonal climate prediction of climate over Korea and East Asia: A review. Asia-Pacific J Atmos Sci 53, 149–173 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-017-0008-5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-017-0008-5

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