Abstract
Because of continuing acceleration in number of births, in resource use and in many aspects of environmental rundown, including growing destruction of the ecosystem, and encouraged by an exploitive economic system and misuse of technology, the planet's carrying capacity has long been exceeded and any immediate prospect of sustainability has faded. Nearly half the population of the world is below breeding age and, although growth rates are falling in some regions, they are constant in others. Family planning has only been effective in limited areas of the world. Any prospect of demographic transition to lower fertility is uncertain and yet to be realized. The momentum of population growth will continue at present rates for at least another twenty years.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abelson, P.H. (1991). National energy strategy.Science, 251, 1405.
Abernethy, V. (1993).Population politics: The choices that shape our future. New York: Insight Books, Plenum Press.
Abernethy, V. (1994. December). Optimism and overpopulation.The Atlantic Monthly, pp. 84–91.
Arizpe, L., Constanza, R., & Lutz, W. (1992). Population and natural resource use. In J.C.I. Dooge et al. (Eds.).An agenda of science for environment and development into the 21st. Century, (pp. 61–78). London: Cambridge University Press.
Ausubel, J.H. (1991). Does climate still matter?Commentary, Nature, 350, 649–652.
Bongaarts, J. (1994). Population policy options in the developing world.Science, 263, 771–776.
Bullough, V. & Bullough, B. (1983. Winter). Population control vs. freedom in China.Free Inquiry, pp. 12–15.
Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment. (1990. November).National action strategy on global warming. CCME.
Daly, H.E. & Cobb, J.B. Jr. (1989).For the common good. Boston: Beacon Press.
Davis, K. (1991). Population and resources: Fact and interpretation. In K. Davis and M.S. Bernstam, (Eds.).Resources, environment and population: Present knowledge and future options, (pp. 1–24). NY: Oxford University Press.
Davis, K. and Bernstam, M.S. (Eds.). (1991).Resources, environment and population: Present knowledge and future options. New York and Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Demeny, P. (1986). Population and the invisible hand.Demography, 23(4), 473–487.
Djerassi, C. (1992). The need for birth control: Why and what kind?,Engineering and Science, 55(3), 21–24. California Institute of Technology.
Ehrlich, P.R. (1994). Energy use and biodiversity loss.Philosophical Transactions: Biological Sciences, 344, 99–104. London: The Royal Society.
Ehrlich, P.R. & Wilson, E.O. (1991). Biodiversity studies: Science and policy.Science, 253, 758–762.
Gillespie, R. (1992). Discussion on the demographic transition and the technological transition.Engineering and Science, 55(3), 5. California Institute of Technology.
Graham-Smith, F. (Ed.). (1994).Population—the complex reality. A report of the Population Summit of the world's Scientific Academies. London: The Royal Society.
Horiuchi, S. (1992). Stagnation in the decline of the world population growth rate during the 1980.Science, 257, 761–776.
Jacobson, J. (1988). Planning the global family. In L.R. Brown et al. (Eds.).State of the World, (pp. 151–169). New York: Norton.
Kendall, H.W. & Pimentel, D. (1994). Constraints on the expansion of the global food supply.Ambio, 23(3), 198–205.
Keyfitz, N. (1991a). Population growth can prevent the development that would slow population growth. In J.T. Mathews (Ed.).Preserving the global environment, (pp. 39–77). New York and London: Norton.
Keyfitz, N. (1991b). Population and development within the ecosphere: One view of the literature.Population Index, 57(1), 5–22.
Keyfitz, N. (1991c). Towards a theory of population-development interaction. In K. Davis & M.S. Bernstam (Eds.).Resources, environment and population: Present knowledge and future options, (pp. 295–314). NY: Oxford University Press.
Keyfitz, N. (1994).What happened in Cairo? A view from the Internet. Unpublished Manuscript.
Lee, R.D. (1991). Long-run global population forecasts: A critical appraisal. In K. Davis & M.S. Bernstam. (Eds.)Resources, environment and population: Present knowledge and future options, (pp. 44–71). NY: Oxford University Press.
Lovelock, J.E. (1976).A new look at life on Earth. NY: Oxford University Press.
McLaren, D.J. (1994). Aspects of reality: Survival and the myth of sustainability.42nd. Pugwash Conference on Science and World Affairs, Berlin, 1992. World Scientific. Proceedings II, 701–09.
McLaren, D.J. (1995). Humankind—the agent and victim of global change in the geosphere-biosphere system. In J. Leith (Ed.).Planet Earth Problems and Prospects. (243–260), McGill-Queen's University Press).
Meadows, D.H., Meadows, D.L., Randers, J. & Behrens, W.W., III.(1972)The limits to growth. New York: Universe Books.
Meadows, D.H., Meadows, D.L. & Randers, J. (1992).Beyond the limits: Envisioning a sustainable future. Chelsea Green/Earthscan.
Myers, N. (1994). Population and biodiversity. In F. Graham-Smith (Ed.).Population—the complex reality, (pp. 117–136). NY: Oxford.
Nordhaus, W.D. (1992). An optimal transition path for controlling greenhouse gases.Science, 258, 1315–19.
Pereira, H.C. (1991, November). Birth rights.Science and Public Affairs, pp. 20–23.
Pereira, H.C. (1993, July). Food production and population growth.Land Use Policy, 187–90.
Pimentel, D., Harman, R., Pacenza, M., Pecarsky, A., Pimentel, M. (1994). Natural resources and an optimum human population.Population and Environment, 15(5), 347–369.
Population summit of the world's scientific academies. (1993).A joint statement. Washington: The National Academy Press.
Rees, W.E. (1990). The ecology of sustainable development.The Ecologist, 20(1), 19–23.
Report of the International Conference on Population and Development (I.C.P.D). (1994). Preliminary Version. Cairo: United Nations.
The Royal Society and US National Academy of Sciences. (1992). Population growth, resource consumption, and a sustainable world.Statement.
Sadik, N. (1991).The state of world population. (pp. 19–23). New York: United Nations Population Fund.
Simon, J.L. (1995, January–February). Why do we hear prophecies of doom from every side?The Futurist, pp. 19–23.
Tickell, C. (1994). The future and its consequences.The British Association Lectures, 1993, pp. 20–24. London: The Geological Society.
Young, G.M. (1948). Quotation cited by W.D. Handcock in introduction to Young'sVictorian Essays, p. 7, 1962. London: Oxford University Press.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
McLaren, D.J. Population growth — Should we be worried?. Popul Environ 17, 243–259 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02208491
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02208491