Abstract
This paper makes use of the fact that the stock of medical manpower in Canada is institutionally and exogenously determined in order to develop a model predicting physician average net income. An econometric evaluation of this model on a sample involving Canada's ten provinces during 1968–1982 suggests that a one per cent increase in physician fees increases physician average net income by 0.70 per cent, and a one per cent increase in the physician to population ratio reduces average net income by 0.62 per cent. In both cases, the elasticities are less than unity because the supply function for an individual physician is backward bending — on average, a Canadian physician reduces his hours worked by an amount between 0.17 and 0.50 per cent (95 per cent confidence interval) if his real wage rate is increased by one per cent.
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The objective of this paper is to consider a more complex version of a demand function for physician manpower originally developed by myself in Malcolm C. Brown, Caring for Profit, The Fraser Institute, Vancouver, 1987. Because of the objective, there is a similarity between the focus of the paper and that of the book. However, the model developed in the paper is more complex, and the demand function following from this model is more fully evaluated empirically.
I would like to thank the referees for their extremely helpful comments, and The Fraser Institute for its support of research which laid the foundations for this study.
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Brown, M.C. Empirical determinants of physician incomes — Evidence from Canadian data. Empirical Economics 14, 273–289 (1989). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01972453
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01972453