Publication Date:
2016-03-05
Description:
The replicability of some scientific findings has recently been called into question. To contribute data about replicability in economics, we replicated 18 studies published in the American Economic Review and the Quarterly Journal of Economics between 2011 and 2014. All of these replications followed predefined analysis plans that were made publicly available beforehand, and they all have a statistical power of at least 90% to detect the original effect size at the 5% significance level. We found a significant effect in the same direction as in the original study for 11 replications (61%); on average, the replicated effect size is 66% of the original. The replicability rate varies between 67% and 78% for four additional replicability indicators, including a prediction market measure of peer beliefs.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Camerer, Colin F -- Dreber, Anna -- Forsell, Eskil -- Ho, Teck-Hua -- Huber, Jurgen -- Johannesson, Magnus -- Kirchler, Michael -- Almenberg, Johan -- Altmejd, Adam -- Chan, Taizan -- Heikensten, Emma -- Holzmeister, Felix -- Imai, Taisuke -- Isaksson, Siri -- Nave, Gideon -- Pfeiffer, Thomas -- Razen, Michael -- Wu, Hang -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2016 Mar 25;351(6280):1433-6. doi: 10.1126/science.aaf0918. Epub 2016 Mar 3.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Division of Humanities and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology, 1200 East California Boulevard, MC 228-77, Pasadena, CA 91125, USA. ; Department of Economics, Stockholm School of Economics, Box 6501, SE-113 83 Stockholm, Sweden. ; Haas School of Business, University of California-Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720-1900, USA. NUS Business School, National University of Singapore, Singapore 119245. ; Department of Banking and Finance, University of Innsbruck, Universitatsstrasse 15, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria. ; Department of Banking and Finance, University of Innsbruck, Universitatsstrasse 15, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria. Centre for Finance, Department of Economics, University of Goteborg, SE-40530 Goteborg, Sweden. ; Sveriges Riksbank, SE-103 37 Stockholm, Sweden. ; Office of the Deputy President (Research and Technology), National University of Singapore, Singapore 119077. ; New Zealand Institute for Advanced Study, Private Bag 102904, North Shore Mail Centre, Auckland 0745, New Zealand. Wissenschaftskolleg zu Berlin, Institute for Advanced Study, D-14193 Berlin, Germany. ; NUS Business School, National University of Singapore, Singapore 119245.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26940865" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
Print ISSN:
0036-8075
Electronic ISSN:
1095-9203
Topics:
Biology
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Chemistry and Pharmacology
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Computer Science
,
Medicine
,
Natural Sciences in General
,
Physics
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