Publication Date:
2006-12-23
Description:
Human influenza A (subtype H3N2) is characterized genetically by the limited standing diversity of its hemagglutinin and antigenically by clusters that emerge and replace each other within 2 to 8 years. By introducing an epidemiological model that allows for differences between the genetic and antigenic properties of the virus's hemagglutinin, we show that these patterns can arise from cluster-specific immunity alone. Central to the formulation is a genotype-to-phenotype mapping, based on neutral networks, with antigenic phenotypes, not genotypes, determining the degree of strain cross-immunity. The model parsimoniously explains well-known, as well as previously unremarked, features of interpandemic influenza dynamics and evolution. It captures the observed boom-and-bust pattern of viral evolution, with periods of antigenic stasis during which genetic diversity grows, and with episodic contraction of this diversity during cluster transitions.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Koelle, Katia -- Cobey, Sarah -- Grenfell, Bryan -- Pascual, Mercedes -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2006 Dec 22;314(5807):1898-903.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, 2019 Kraus Natural Science Building, University of Michigan, 830 North University Avenue, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1048, USA. kkoelle@psu.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17185596" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
Keywords:
Amino Acid Substitution
;
*Antigenic Variation
;
Antigens, Viral/genetics/immunology
;
Computer Simulation
;
Cross Reactions
;
Disease Outbreaks
;
Disease Susceptibility
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Epitopes/chemistry/genetics/immunology
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Evolution, Molecular
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Genotype
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Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/chemistry/*genetics/*immunology
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Humans
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Immunity, Herd
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Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/*genetics/*immunology
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Influenza, Human/*epidemiology/*immunology/transmission/virology
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Models, Biological
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Models, Statistical
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Phenotype
;
Phylogeny
;
Point Mutation
;
Polymorphism, Genetic
Print ISSN:
0036-8075
Electronic ISSN:
1095-9203
Topics:
Biology
,
Chemistry and Pharmacology
,
Computer Science
,
Medicine
,
Natural Sciences in General
,
Physics
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