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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2008-06-06
    Description: Despite their importance for urban planning, traffic forecasting and the spread of biological and mobile viruses, our understanding of the basic laws governing human motion remains limited owing to the lack of tools to monitor the time-resolved location of individuals. Here we study the trajectory of 100,000 anonymized mobile phone users whose position is tracked for a six-month period. We find that, in contrast with the random trajectories predicted by the prevailing Levy flight and random walk models, human trajectories show a high degree of temporal and spatial regularity, each individual being characterized by a time-independent characteristic travel distance and a significant probability to return to a few highly frequented locations. After correcting for differences in travel distances and the inherent anisotropy of each trajectory, the individual travel patterns collapse into a single spatial probability distribution, indicating that, despite the diversity of their travel history, humans follow simple reproducible patterns. This inherent similarity in travel patterns could impact all phenomena driven by human mobility, from epidemic prevention to emergency response, urban planning and agent-based modelling.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Gonzalez, Marta C -- Hidalgo, Cesar A -- Barabasi, Albert-Laszlo -- England -- Nature. 2008 Jun 5;453(7196):779-82. doi: 10.1038/nature06958.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Center for Complex Network Research and Department of Physics, Biology and Computer Science, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18528393" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Cell Phones/*statistics & numerical data ; Disaster Planning ; Geographic Information Systems ; Humans ; *Locomotion ; Models, Statistical ; Probability ; Travel/*statistics & numerical data
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 2
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2010-02-20
    Description: A range of applications, from predicting the spread of human and electronic viruses to city planning and resource management in mobile communications, depend on our ability to foresee the whereabouts and mobility of individuals, raising a fundamental question: To what degree is human behavior predictable? Here we explore the limits of predictability in human dynamics by studying the mobility patterns of anonymized mobile phone users. By measuring the entropy of each individual's trajectory, we find a 93% potential predictability in user mobility across the whole user base. Despite the significant differences in the travel patterns, we find a remarkable lack of variability in predictability, which is largely independent of the distance users cover on a regular basis.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Song, Chaoming -- Qu, Zehui -- Blumm, Nicholas -- Barabasi, Albert-Laszlo -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2010 Feb 19;327(5968):1018-21. doi: 10.1126/science.1177170.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Center for Complex Network Research, Department of Physics, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20167789" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Behavior ; *Cell Phones ; Forecasting ; *Human Activities ; Humans ; Locomotion ; Models, Statistical ; Probability ; *Travel
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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