ALBERT

Notes: Numerous studies have underscored the importance of terrestrial ecosystems as an integral component of the Earth's climate system. This realization has already led to efforts to link simple equilibrium vegetation models with Atmospheric General Circulation Models through iterative coupling procedures. While these linked models have pointed to several possible climate–vegetation feedback mechanisms, they have been limited by two shortcomings: (i) they only consider the equilibrium response of vegetation to shifting climatic conditions and therefore cannot be used to explore transient interactions between climate and vegetation; and (ii) the representations of vegetation processes and land-atmosphere exchange processes are still treated by two separate models and, as a result, may contain physical or ecological inconsistencies.Here we present, as a proof concept, a more tightly integrated framework for simulating global climate and vegetation interactions. The prototype coupled model consists of the GENESIS (version 2) Atmospheric General Circulation Model and the IBIS (version 1) Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. The two models are directly coupled through a common treatment of land surface and ecophysiological processes, which is used to calculate the energy, water, carbon, and momentum fluxes between vegetation, soils, and the atmosphere. On one side of the interface, GENESIS simulates the physics and general circulation of the atmosphere. On the other side, IBIS predicts transient changes in the vegetation structure through changes in the carbon balance and competition among plants within terrestrial ecosystems.As an initial test of this modelling framework, we perform a 30 year simulation in which the coupled model is supplied with modern CO2 concentrations, observed ocean temperatures, and modern insolation. In this exploratory study, we run the GENESIS atmospheric model at relatively coarse horizontal resolution (4.5° latitude by 7.5° longitude) and IBIS at moderate resolution (2° latitude by 2° longitude). We initialize the models with globally uniform climatic conditions and the modern distribution of potential vegetation cover. While the simulation does not fully reach equilibrium by the end of the run, several general features of the coupled model behaviour emerge.We compare the results of the coupled model against the observed patterns of modern climate. The model correctly simulates the basic zonal distribution of temperature and precipitation, but several important regional biases remain. In particular, there is a significant warm bias in the high northern latitudes, and cooler than observed conditions over the Himalayas, central South America, and north-central Africa. In terms of precipitation, the model simulates drier than observed conditions in much of South America, equatorial Africa and Indonesia, with wetter than observed conditions in northern Africa and China.Comparing the model results against observed patterns of vegetation cover shows that the general placement of forests and grasslands is roughly captured by the model. In addition, the model simulates a roughly correct separation of evergreen and deciduous forests in the tropical, temperate and boreal zones. However, the general patterns of global vegetation cover are only approximately correct: there are still significant regional biases in the simulation. In particular, forest cover is not simulated correctly in large portions of central Canada and southern South America, and grasslands extend too far into northern Africa.These preliminary results demonstrate the feasibility of coupling climate models with fully dynamic representations of the terrestrial biosphere. Continued development of fully coupled climate-vegetation models will facilitate the exploration of a broad range of global change issues, including the potential role of vegetation feedbacks within the climate system, and the impact of climate variability and transient climate change on the terrestrial biosphere.

Notes: Investigates whether the recent emphasis on persuading employers to abandon ageist attitudes and appoint or promote on merit, irrespective of the applicant's age, has been justified by comparing the results of the 1992 Institute of Personnel Management survey with those from 221 post-experience management students from a survey carried out in 1995. In this preliminary analysis of the data, major points of similarity and divergence are examined to see if a "new generation" of managers are thinking in substantially different ways on this long-standing labour market issue.

Notes: [Auszug] The sudden, widespread glaciation of Antarctica and the associated shift towards colder temperatures at the Eocene/Oligocene boundary (∼34 million years ago) (refs 1–4) is one of the most fundamental reorganizations of global climate known in the geologic record. The ...

Notes: Abstract The Paleoclimates from Arctic Lakes and Estuaries (PALE) project has chosen to conduct high resolution data-model comparisons for the Arctic region at 21 and 10 (calendar) ka BP. The model simulations for 21, 10, and 0 ka BP were conducted with the GENESIS 2.0 GCM. The 10 ka BP simulation was coupled to the EVE vegetation model. The primary boundary conditions differing from present at 21 ka BP were the northern hemisphere ice sheets and lower CO2, and at 10 ka BP were the orbital insolation and smaller northern hemisphere ice sheets. The purpose of this article is to discuss the hydrological consequences of these simulations. At the Last Glacial Maximum (21 ka BP) the large ice sheets over North America and Eurasia and the lower CO2 levels produced a colder climate than present, with less precipitation throughout the Arctic, except where circulation was altered by the ice sheets. At 10 ka BP greater summer insolation resulted in a warmer and wetter Beringia, but conditions remained cold and dry in the north Atlantic sector, in the vicinity of the remnant ice sheets. Less winter insolation at 10 ka BP resulted in colder and drier conditions throughout the Arctic. Precipitation - evaporation generally correlated with precipitation except where changes in the surface type (ice sheets, vegetation at 10 ka BP, or sea level at 21 ka BP) caused large changes in the evaporation rate. The primary hydrological differences (from present) at 21 and 10 ka BP correlated with the temperature differences, which were a direct result of the large-scale boundary condition changes.

Notes: Abstract Using a three-layer model with a fractured central layer, and with a top layer and a bottom layer of the same thickness, we study the change of the critical fracture spacing to layer thickness ratio (i.e., the ratio at fracture saturation) as a function of the thickness of the top and bottom layers. Results show that, with increasing thickness of these layers, the critical spacing to layer thickness ratio decreases rapidly from infinity to a constant value, corresponding to that for very thick top and bottom layers. Also, we study the change of the critical spacing ratio as a function of the thickness of the top layer where the bottom layer is much thicker (5 times) than the fractured layer. In this case, the critical spacing to layer thickness ratio decreases rapidly from the value for edge fractures to the same constant value as the thickness of the top layer increases. These results imply that if the adjacent layers are thicker than 1.5 times the thickness of the fractured layer, the multilayer can be treated approximately as a system with infinitely thick top and bottom layers in terms of spacing at fracture saturation.

Notes: Abstract Opening-mode fractures developed from a free surface in a layered material often terminate at the interface that divides the fractured layer and the underlying layer. They also display regular spacing that is of the same order of magnitude as the thickness of the fractured layer. We have investigated the stress distribution between two adjacent edge fractures as a function of the ratio of fracture spacing to thickness of the fractured layer using a two-layer elastic model with a fractured top layer. The results show that when the ratio of fracture spacing to the layer thickness changes from greater than to less than a critical value the normal stress acting perpendicular to the fractures near the free surface changes from tensile to compressive. This stress state transition precludes further infilling of fractures unless they are driven by mechanisms other than a pure extension, or there are flaws that significantly perturb the local stress field between the fractures. Hence, the critical fracture spacing to layer thickness ratio defines a lower limit for fractures driven by extension, which also defines the condition of fracture saturation. The critical value of the fracture spacing to layer thickness ratio is independent of the average strain of the fractured layer, and it increases with increasing ratio of Young's modulus of the fractured layer to that of the underlying layer. The critical value increases with increasing Poisson's ratio of the fractured layer, but it decreases with increasing Poisson's ratio of the underlying layer. For the case with the same elastic constants for the fractured layer and the underlying layer, the critical spacing to layer thickness ratio is about 3.1. Delamination between the fractured layer and the underlying layer makes the critical spacing to layer thickness ratio much greater. Infilling fractures grow more easily from flaws located near the bottom of the fractured layer than from those located near the free surface when the spacing to layer thickness ratio is less than the critical value. The propagation of an edge flaw between adjacent edge fractures is unstable, but for the flaw to propagate to the interface, its height has to be greater than a critical size, that decreases with increasing fracture spacing to layer thickness ratio. The propagation behavior of an internal flaw with its lower tip at the interface depends on the edge fracture spacing to layer thickness ratio. The propagation is unstable, when the fracture spacing to layer thickness ratio is greater than a critical value; stable, when the fracture spacing to layer thickness ratio is less than another critical value; and first unstable, then stable, and/or unstable again, when the fracture spacing to layer thickness ratio is between these two critical values.