ALBERT

Description: Chinese croplands have changed considerably over the past decades, but their impacts on the environment remain underexplored. Meanwhile, understanding the contributions of human activities to vegetation greenness has been attracting more attention but still needs to be improved. To address both issues, this study explored vegetation greening and its relationships with Chinese cropland changes and climate. Greenness trends were first identified from the normalized difference vegetation index and leaf area index from 1982–2015 using three trend detection algorithms. Boosted regression trees were then performed to explore underlying relationships between vegetation greening and cropland and climate predictors. The results showed the widespread greening in Chinese croplands but large discrepancies in greenness trends characterized by different metrics. Annual greenness trends in most Chinese croplands were more likely nonlinearly associated with climate compared with cropland changes, while cropland percentage only predominantly contributed to vegetation greening in the Sichuan Basin and its surrounding regions with leaf area index data and, in the Northeast China Plain, with vegetation index data. Results highlight both the differences in vegetation greenness using different indicators and further impacts on the nonlinear relationships with cropland and climate, which have been largely ignored in previous studies.

Description: Many advanced satellite estimation methods have been developed, but global forest aboveground biomass (AGB) products remain largely uncertain. In this study, we explored data fusion techniques to generate a global forest AGB map for the 2000s at 0.01-degree resolution with improved accuracy by integrating ten existing local or global maps. The error removal and simple averaging algorithm, which is efficient and makes no assumption about the data and associated errors, was proposed to integrate these ten forest AGB maps. We first compiled the global reference AGB from in situ measurements and high-resolution AGB data that were originally derived from field data and airborne lidar data and determined the errors of each forest AGB map at the pixels with corresponding reference AGB values. Based on the errors determined from reference AGB data, the pixel-by-pixel errors associated with each of the ten AGB datasets were estimated from multiple predictors (e.g., leaf area index, forest canopy height, forest cover, land surface elevation, slope, temperature, and precipitation) using the random forest algorithm. The estimated pixel-by-pixel errors were then removed from the corresponding forest AGB datasets, and finally, global forest AGB maps were generated by combining the calibrated existing forest AGB datasets using the simple averaging algorithm. Cross-validation using reference AGB data showed that the accuracy of the fused global forest AGB map had an R-squared of 0.61 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 53.68 Mg/ha, which is better than the reported accuracies (R-squared of 0.56 and RMSE larger than 80 Mg/ha) in the literature. Intercomparison with previous studies also suggested that the fused AGB estimates were much closer to the reference AGB values. This study attempted to integrate existing forest AGB datasets for generating a global forest AGB map with better accuracy and moved one step forward for our understanding of the global terrestrial carbon cycle by providing improved benchmarks of global forest carbon stocks.

Description: This study provided a comprehensive evaluation of eight machine learning regression algorithms for forest aboveground biomass (AGB) estimation from satellite data based on leaf area index, canopy height, net primary production, and tree cover data, as well as climatic and topographical data. Some of these algorithms have not been commonly used for forest AGB estimation such as the extremely randomized trees, stochastic gradient boosting, and categorical boosting (CatBoost) regression. For each algorithm, its hyperparameters were optimized using grid search with cross-validation, and the optimal AGB model was developed using the training dataset (80%) and AGB was predicted on the test dataset (20%). Performance metrics, feature importance as well as overestimation and underestimation were considered as indicators for evaluating the performance of an algorithm. To reduce the impacts of the random training-test data split and sampling method on the performance, the above procedures were repeated 50 times for each algorithm under the random sampling, the stratified sampling, and separate modeling scenarios. The results showed that five tree-based ensemble algorithms performed better than the three nonensemble algorithms (multivariate adaptive regression splines, support vector regression, and multilayer perceptron), and the CatBoost algorithm outperformed the other algorithms for AGB estimation. Compared with the random sampling scenario, the stratified sampling scenario and separate modeling did not significantly improve the AGB estimates, but modeling AGB for each forest type separately provided stable results in terms of the contributions of the predictor variables to the AGB estimates. All the algorithms showed forest AGB were underestimated when the AGB values were larger than 210 Mg/ha and overestimated when the AGB values were less than 120 Mg/ha. This study highlighted the capability of ensemble algorithms to improve AGB estimates and the necessity of improving AGB estimates for high and low AGB levels in future studies.