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  • 1
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Berlin [u.a.] : Springer-Verlag
    Call number: PIK N 455-01-0368
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 236 p.
    ISBN: 354067862X
    Series Statement: GKSS School of Environmental Research ;
    Location: A 18 - must be ordered
    Branch Library: PIK Library
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  • 2
    Keywords: Environment ; Climate change ; Environment ; Climate Change ; Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
    Description / Table of Contents: Bereits zum zweiten Mal wird im Rahmen des KlimaCampus Hamburg der aktuelle Forschungsstand zum Klimawandel in der Hamburger Metropolregion und Norddeutschland systematisch dokumentiert. Erfahren Sie auf Basis der Fachliteratur, in welchem Maße Konsens hinsichtlich des Klimawandels in Norddeutschland besteht. Inwieweit sind Entwicklungen bereits messbar, welche Auswirkungen zeigen sich bereits heute und wie kann sich die Region vor negativen Folgen des Klimawandels schützen? Die über 70 Autoren haben die Forschungsergebnisse zu diesen Fragen systematisch zusammengetragen. Die Übereinstimmung bzw. Widersprüchlichkeit des derzeitigen Wissens wurde dabei herausgearbeitet, Erkenntnisgewinne gegenüber dem ersten Hamburger Klimabericht lokalisiert und weiterhin bestehender Forschungsbedarf aufgezeigt. Alle Beiträge wurden einem wissenschaftlichen Begutachtungsprozess unterzogen, der von einem Lenkungsausschuss überwacht wurde. Die Dokumentation belegt umfassend eine bereits stattfindende Erwärmung in der Metropolregion Hamburg und in Norddeutschland sowie einen Meeresspiegelanstieg an Nord- und Ostsee. Mit der Erwärmung zeichnen sich deutliche Änderungen im Ökosystem ab. Diese bereits eingetretenen Entwicklungen können sich künftig weiter verstärken. Erfahren Sie, welche Auswirkungen dies für Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft hat. Dieses Buch ist eine Open-Acess-Publikation unter einer CC BY-NC 4.0 Lizenz
    Pages: Online-Ressource (XVIII, 302 Seiten) , 92 Abbildungen, 66 Abbildungen in Farbe
    ISBN: 9783662553794
    Language: German
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  • 3
    Keywords: Environment ; Climate change ; Environment ; Climate Change ; Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
    Description / Table of Contents: Klima der Region und Einfluss auf Ökosysteme --- Einleitung und Zusammenfassung / Hans von Storch, Insa Meinke, Martin Claußen / Pages 1-11 --- Klima der Region – Zustand, bisherige Entwicklung und mögliche Änderungen bis 2100 / Insa Meinke, Diana Rechid, Birger Tinz, Moritz Maneke, Christiana Lefebvre, Elke Isokeit / Pages 15-36 --- Stadtklima in Hamburg / K. Heinke Schlünzen, Wolfgang Riecke, Benjamin Bechtel, Marita Boettcher, Saskia Buchholz, David Grawe et al. / Pages 37-53 --- Deutsche Bucht mit Tideelbe und Lübecker Bucht / Birgit Klein, Rita Seiffert, Ulf Gräwe, Holger Klein, Peter Loewe, Jens Möller et al. / Pages 55-87 --- Aquatische Ökosysteme: Nordsee, Wattenmeer, Elbeästuar und Ostsee / Justus van Beusekom, Ralf Thiel, Ivo Bobsien, Maarten Boersma, Christian Buschbaum, Andreas Dänhardt et al. / Pages 89-107 --- Terrestrische und semiterrestrische Ökosysteme / Udo Schickhoff, Annette Eschenbach / Pages 109-145 --- Auswirkungen des Klimawandels in der Region --- Land- und Forstwirtschaft, Fischerei / Michael Köhl, Christian Möllmann, Jörg Fromm, Gerd Kraus, Volker Mues / Pages 149-172 --- Gesundheit / Jobst Augustin, Rolf Horstmann, Timo Homeier-Bachmann, Kai Jensen, Jörg Knieling, Anne Caroline Krefis et al. / Pages 173-192 --- Infrastrukturen (Energie- und Wasserversorgung) / Markus Groth, Julia Rose / Pages 193-208 --- Migration / Michael Brzoska, Jürgen Oßenbrügge, Christiane Fröhlich, Jürgen Scheffran / Pages 209-224 --- Hafen Hamburg, Schifffahrt und Verkehr / Birgit Weiher / Pages 225-240 --- Regionaler Klimawandel und Gesellschaft --- Klimawandel in den Medien / Michael Brüggemann, Irene Neverla, Imke Hoppe, Stefanie Walter / Pages 243-254 --- Wahrnehmung des Klimawandels in der Metropolregion Hamburg / Beate M. W. Ratter / Pages 255-264 --- Lokale Klima-Governance im Mehrebenensystem: formale und informelle Regelungsformen / Anita Engels, Martin Wickel, Jörg Knieling, Nancy Kretschmann, Kerstin Walz / Pages 265-282 --- Technischer Klimaschutz / Detlef Schulz, Thomas Weiß / Pages 283-291 --- Klimawandel, Nachhaltigkeit und Transformationsgestaltung / Harald Heinrichs / Pages 293-302
    Pages: Online-Ressource (XVIII, 302 Seiten) , 92 Abbildungen, 66 Abbildungen in Farbe
    ISBN: 9783662553794
    Language: German
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  • 4
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    [s.l.] : Macmillan Magazines Ltd.
    Nature 405 (2000), S. 615-615 
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] Many people think that the threat of ‘global warming’ arose only towards the end of the twentieth century. But the idea of human (anthropogenic) interference with climate has an important — although often overlooked — historical dimension. Climate change, either natural ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 5
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Oxford, UK : Blackwell Science Ltd
    Global change biology 3 (1997), S. 0 
    ISSN: 1365-2486
    Source: Blackwell Publishing Journal Backfiles 1879-2005
    Topics: Biology , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography
    Notes: The assessment of possible implications of anthropogenic climate change requires the evaluation of results obtained with complex climate models. Here we considered the problem of assessing the impact of climate variability on successional events in a lake (Plußsee) of the temperate region between January and May. We first established a statistical link between large-scale air temperature, at about 1500 m height, and the local temperature, in order to bridge the spatial gap of information obtained from global climate models and local climate which forces processes in the lake. Secondly, the local temperatures were statistically related to biologically induced dynamic features in the lake, derived from Secchi depths readings (as integrated measures). The observed relationships were compared with results from a phyto- and zooplankton population-dynamic model run under different temperature regimes. The local temperatures approximated closely the large-scale temperature. The timing of phyto- and zooplankton maxima (clearwater phase) were negatively related to the temperature. Thus, with a temperature increase both occurred earlier. The intensity of the spring algal maximum was negatively related to its timing, whereas no clear relation between the timing and intensity of the clearwater phase (zooplankton maximum) could be obtained.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 6
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    International journal of biometeorology 41 (1997), S. 5-12 
    ISSN: 1432-1254
    Keywords: Key words Plant phenology ; Galanthus nivalis L. ; Climatic effect of plant events ; Statistical downscaling ; Northern Germany
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geography , Physics
    Notes: Abstract  We have examined the relationship between phenological data and concurrent large-scale meterological data. As phenological data we have chosen the beginning of the flowering of Galanthus nivalis L. (flowering date) in Northern Germany, and as large-scale meteorological data we use monthly mean near-surface air temperatures for January, February and March. By means of canonical correlation analysis (CCA), a strong linear correlation between both sets of variables is identified. Twenty years of observed data are used to build the statistical model. To validate the derived relationship, the flowering date is downscaled from air temperature observations of an independent period. The statistical model is found to reproduce the observed flowering dates well, both in terms of variability as well as amplitude. Air temperature data from a general circulation model of climate change are used to estimate the flowering date in the case of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. We found that at a time of doubled CO2 concentration (expected by about 2035) G. nivalis L. in Northern Germany will flower ∼2 weeks and at the time of tripled CO2 concentration (expected by about 2085) ∼4 weeks earlier than presently.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 7
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    [s.l.] : Nature Publishing Group
    Nature 365 (1993), S. 791-791 
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] SIR - In the debate concerning climate change due to increasing emissions of radiatively active gases into the atmosphere, many people are concerned about the possibility of an intensification of extratropical storms. Even though the International Panel on Climate Change1 took a cautious stand in ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2017-02-02
    Description: Changes in precipitation characteristics directly affect society through their impacts on drought and floods, hydro-dams, and urban drainage systems. Global warming increases the water holding capacity of the atmosphere and thus the risk of heavy precipitation. Here, daily precipitation records from over 700 Chinese stations from 1956 to 2005 are analyzed. The results show a significant shift from light to heavy precipitation over eastern China. An optimal fingerprinting analysis of simulations from 11 climate models driven by different combinations of historical anthropogenic (greenhouse gases, aerosols, land use, and ozone) and natural (volcanic and solar) forcings indicates that anthropogenic forcing on climate, including increases in greenhouse gases (GHGs), has had a detectable contribution to the observed shift toward heavy precipitation. Some evidence is found that anthropogenic aerosols (AAs) partially offset the effect of the GHG forcing, resulting in a weaker shift toward heavy precipitation in simulations that include the AA forcing than in simulations with only the GHG forcing. In addition to the thermodynamic mechanism, strengthened water vapor transport from the adjacent oceans and by midlatitude westerlies, resulting mainly from GHG-induced warming, also favors heavy precipitation over eastern China. Further GHG-induced warming is predicted to lead to an increasing shift toward heavy precipitation, leading to increased urban flooding and posing a significant challenge for mega-cities in China in the coming decades. Future reductions in AA emissions resulting from air pollution controls could exacerbate this tendency toward heavier precipitation.
    Print ISSN: 0894-8755
    Electronic ISSN: 1520-0442
    Topics: Geography , Geosciences , Physics
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2018-06-29
    Description: A decline in dry season precipitation over tropical South America has a large impact on ecosystem health of the region. Results here indicate that the magnitude of negative trends in dry season precipitation in the past decades exceeds the estimated range of trends due to natural variability of the climate system defined in both the preindustrial climate and during the 850–1850 millennium. The observed drying is associated with an increase in vapor pressure deficit. The univariate detection analysis shows that greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing has a systematic influence in negative 30-year trends of precipitation ending in 1998 and later on. The bivariate attribution analysis demonstrates that forcing by elevated GHG levels and land-use change are attributed as key causes for the observed drying during 1983–2012 over the southern Amazonia and central Brazil. We further show that the effect of GS signal (GHG and sulfate aerosols) based on RCP4.5 scenario already has a detectable influence in the observed drying. Thus, we suggest that the recently observed “drier dry season” is a feature which will continue and intensify in the course of unfolding anthropogenic climate change. Such change could have profound societal and ecosystem impacts over the region. ©2018. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
    Print ISSN: 0094-8276
    Electronic ISSN: 1944-8007
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2018-05-27
    Description: The present study reveals climate features of low-level jets (LLJs) over the Bohai Sea and Yellow Sea (BYS) based on a 35-year (1979–2013) high-resolution (7 km) atmospheric hindcast. The regional climate model COSMO-CLM driven by the ERA-Interim reanalysis data set was used to obtain the hindcast. Through comparison with observations, the hindcast was proved to robustly reproduce the climatology, the diurnal cycle, the variability of wind profiles, and specific LLJ cases. LLJs over the BYS feature a strong diurnal cycle, intra-annual, and interannual variability but weak decadal variability. LLJs are more frequent in April, May, and June (LLJ season) and less frequent in winter over the Bohai Sea and western coastal areas of the Yellow Sea, which is due to the intra-annual variations of large-scale circulation and local land-sea thermal contrast. In the LLJ season, the heights of jet cores are generally lower than 500 m above sea level. The maximum wind speed of LLJs is mostly in the range of 10–16 m/s, and prevailing wind directions are southerly and southwesterly. The LLJs are of the nocturnal type, with the highest occurrence frequency at approximately 2300 local time. Furthermore, a low-frequency link between anomalies of LLJ occurrence and regional large-scale barotropic circulation was identified using canonical correlation analysis and associated correlation patterns. Pressure systems over the East Asia-northwest Pacific region are significantly correlated with the variations of LLJ occurrence over the BYS in terms of the intra-annual and interannual variability. ©2018. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
    Print ISSN: 2169-897X
    Electronic ISSN: 2169-8996
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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